用图神经网络识别足球中被低估的关键球员
Unveiling Hidden Pivotal Players with GoalNet: A GNN-Based Soccer Player Evaluation System
- 构建事件图谱,融合空间与时间特征分析球员贡献
- 通过中心性度量让防守型球员获得应有认可
- 适合球探、教练和数据分析师用于全面评估球员
当前足球分析工具过度依赖预期进球等进攻指标,导致防守型球员如曼城的罗德里和拜仁新援帕尔欣哈的贡献被忽视。为此,本文提出一种基于图神经网络(GNN)的球员评估框架,通过追踪预期威胁(xT)变化,对非得分行为如控球、防守或过渡传球进行公平归因。该方法将比赛事件建模为以球员为中心的图结构,编码时空特征,并在学习到的球员嵌入中引入中心性度量,使持球防守者和防守型中场获得与其实际影响相匹配的评价。进一步比较了图注意力网络与基于变压器的模型在处理长程依赖与动态比赛情境中的表现,验证了该方法在真实比赛数据上的鲁棒性,有效揭示了传统进攻指标所遗漏的关键角色。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Soccer analysis tools emphasize metrics such as expected goals, leading to an overrepresentation of attacking players' contributions and overlooking players who facilitate ball control and link attacks. Examples include Rodri from Manchester City and Palhinha who just transferred to Bayern Munich. To address this bias, we aim to identify players with pivotal roles in a soccer team, incorporating both spatial and temporal features. In this work, we introduce a GNN-based framework that assigns individual credit for changes in expected threat (xT), thus capturing overlooked yet vital contributions in soccer. Our pipeline encodes both spatial and temporal features in event-centric graphs, enabling fair attribution of non-scoring actions such as defensive or transitional plays. We incorporate centrality measures into the learned player embeddings, ensuring that ball-retaining defenders and defensive midfielders receive due recognition for their overall impact. Furthermore, we explore diverse GNN variants-including Graph Attention Networks and Transformer-based models-to handle long-range dependencies and evolving match contexts, discussing their relative performance and computational complexity. Experiments on real match data confirm the robustness of our approach in highlighting pivotal roles that traditional attacking metrics typically miss, underscoring the model's utility for more comprehensive soccer analytics.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。