用LSTM预测集装箱空箱可用量,提升港口调度效率。
Forecasting Empty Container availability for Vehicle Booking System Application
- 基于LSTM等四类模型预测空箱可用性
- LSTM在复杂时间序列中表现最佳,误差最低
- 适合港口运营优化与物流系统设计者参考
集装箱码头是空箱流动网络中的关键节点,通过承运人与码头运营商的有效协作,可显著提升码头内部作业效率。本文聚焦于在车辆预约系统(VBS)框架下,开发并评估一种数据驱动的空箱可用性预测方法,填补了优化空箱停留时间研究的空白,旨在提升码头运营效率。研究对比分析了四种预测模型——朴素法、ARIMA、Prophet和LSTM,结果表明LSTM因能捕捉复杂时间序列模式而表现最优。该研究强调了根据码头实际需求选择合适预测技术的重要性,有助于改善海运物流中的运营规划与管理。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Container terminals, pivotal nodes in the network of empty container movement, hold significant potential for enhancing operational efficiency within terminal depots through effective collaboration between transporters and terminal operators. This collaboration is crucial for achieving optimization, leading to streamlined operations and reduced congestion, thereby benefiting both parties. Consequently, there is a pressing need to develop the most suitable forecasting approaches to address this challenge. This study focuses on developing and evaluating a data-driven approach for forecasting empty container availability at container terminal depots within a Vehicle Booking System (VBS) framework. It addresses the gap in research concerning optimizing empty container dwell time and aims to enhance operational efficiencies in container terminal operations. Four forecasting models-Naive, ARIMA, Prophet, and LSTM-are comprehensively analyzed for their predictive capabilities, with LSTM emerging as the top performer due to its ability to capture complex time series patterns. The research underscores the significance of selecting appropriate forecasting techniques tailored to the specific requirements of container terminal operations, contributing to improved operational planning and management in maritime logistics.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。