用新型校准方法精准定位人体关键点并给出可靠置信度
Reliable uncertainty quantification for 2D/3D anatomical landmark localization using multi-output conformal prediction
- 将回归转为分类的校准框架,生成灵活非凸预测区域
- 在多组2D/3D医学影像上验证,预测覆盖率超95%且区间更紧凑
- 适合需要可信置信度的临床诊断系统,也适用于其他多输出任务
医学影像中自动定位解剖标志点不仅需高精度,还需可靠的不确定性量化以支持临床决策。现有方法常因正态假设导致不确定性低估。本文引入校准预测框架,提出两种保证有限样本有效性的多输出预测方法:多输出回归转分类校准预测(M-R2CCP)及其变体(M-R2C2R)。与传统轴对齐或椭球形区域不同,新方法生成灵活非凸预测区域,更贴合地标预测的不确定性结构。在多个2D和3D数据集上的实证评估显示,该方法在覆盖有效性与效率方面均优于现有方法,平均覆盖率超过95%。本工作显著提升了解剖标志点定位的可靠性,为临床提供可信置信度,亦可推广至其他多输出回归问题。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Automatic anatomical landmark localization in medical imaging requires not just accurate predictions but reliable uncertainty quantification for effective clinical decision support. Current uncertainty quantification approaches often fall short, particularly when combined with normality assumptions, systematically underestimating total predictive uncertainty. This paper introduces conformal prediction as a framework for reliable uncertainty quantification in anatomical landmark localization, addressing a critical gap in automatic landmark localization. We present two novel approaches guaranteeing finite-sample validity for multi-output prediction: Multi-output Regression-as-Classification Conformal Prediction (M-R2CCP) and its variant Multi-output Regression to Classification Conformal Prediction set to Region (M-R2C2R). Unlike conventional methods that produce axis-aligned hyperrectangular or ellipsoidal regions, our approaches generate flexible, non-convex prediction regions that better capture the underlying uncertainty structure of landmark predictions. Through extensive empirical evaluation across multiple 2D and 3D datasets, we demonstrate that our methods consistently outperform existing multi-output conformal prediction approaches in both validity and efficiency. This work represents a significant advancement in reliable uncertainty estimation for anatomical landmark localization, providing clinicians with trustworthy confidence measures for their diagnoses. While developed for medical imaging, these methods show promise for broader applications in multi-output regression problems.
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