用机器学习分析以太坊交易数据,98%准确率识别正规项目
Identifying Likely-Reputable Blockchain Projects on Ethereum
- 融合多源数据与轻量级梯度提升算法分析交易行为
- 在2179个非法实体和3977个正规项目上达到0.984准确率
- 适合投资者、平台方用于识别欺诈项目,提升生态安全
识别可信的以太坊项目仍是区块链生态扩展中的关键挑战。本文提出一种系统性方法,整合多源数据与先进分析技术,评估项目的可信度、透明度与整体可靠性。该方法运用机器学习分析以太坊区块链上的交易历史,基于包含2,179个涉及非法活动实体与3,977个可信项目实体的数据集,采用LightGBM算法,在10折交叉验证下实现平均准确率0.984与平均AUC 0.999。关键影响因素包括交易时间差与接收交易数(received_tnx)。该方法为识别可信以太坊项目提供稳健机制,有助于构建更安全透明的投资环境。通过赋予利益相关者数据驱动洞察,促进更明智决策、风险控制,并推动合法项目发展。同时,也为未来信任评估方法的演进奠定基础,助力以太坊生态持续成熟。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Identifying reputable Ethereum projects remains a critical challenge within the expanding blockchain ecosystem. The ability to distinguish between legitimate initiatives and potentially fraudulent schemes is non-trivial. This work presents a systematic approach that integrates multiple data sources with advanced analytics to evaluate credibility, transparency, and overall trustworthiness. The methodology applies machine learning techniques to analyse transaction histories on the Ethereum blockchain. The study classifies accounts based on a dataset comprising 2,179 entities linked to illicit activities and 3,977 associated with reputable projects. Using the LightGBM algorithm, the approach achieves an average accuracy of 0.984 and an average AUC of 0.999, validated through 10-fold cross-validation. Key influential factors include time differences between transactions and received_tnx. The proposed methodology provides a robust mechanism for identifying reputable Ethereum projects, fostering a more secure and transparent investment environment. By equipping stakeholders with data-driven insights, this research enables more informed decision-making, risk mitigation, and the promotion of legitimate blockchain initiatives. Furthermore, it lays the foundation for future advancements in trust assessment methodologies, contributing to the continued development and maturity of the Ethereum ecosystem.
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