arXiv:2503.16286cs.LG2025-03被引 1

用图模型分析脑代谢数据,精准预测阿尔茨海默病多维认知指标。

Explainable Graph-theoretical Machine Learning: with Application to Alzheimer's Disease Prediction

  • 基于核密度估计与动态时间规整构建个体化脑网络图
  • 对8项认知评分预测相关性达0.71以上,尤其擅长记忆语言等
  • 揭示关键连接边,可作认知衰退的潜在生物标志物

阿尔茨海默病(AD)影响全球5000万人,预计2050年将达1.52亿。该病由代谢脑连接紊乱导致认知衰退。早期准确检测代谢脑网络异常至关重要。主要依赖FDG-PET数据。现有图方法多基于群体分析或阈值处理,易掩盖个体差异,忽略弱但关键的连接。此外,机器学习预测多限于单变量疾病状态。本文提出可解释图论机器学习(XGML),结合核密度估计与动态时间规整,构建个体代谢脑图,捕捉区域间距离,并识别对多维AD相关指标最具预测性的子图。基于阿尔茨海默病神经影像计划(ADNI)的FDG-PET数据,XGML成功构建脑图,预测8项认知评分,表现稳健,尤其在学习、记忆、语言、执行和定向能力方面:如CDRSB(r=0.74)、ADAS11(r=0.73)、ADAS13(r=0.71)。同时,发现若干连接边联合且差异化预测多个指标,可能作为评估整体认知衰退的网络生物标志物。研究展示图论机器学习在生物标志物发现与疾病预测中的潜力,有助于深入理解AD的网络神经机制。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Alzheimer's disease (AD) affects 50 million people worldwide and is projected to overwhelm 152 million by 2050. AD is characterized by cognitive decline due partly to disruptions in metabolic brain connectivity. Thus, early and accurate detection of metabolic brain network impairments is crucial for AD management. Chief to identifying such impairments is FDG-PET data. Despite advancements, most graph-based studies using FDG-PET data rely on group-level analysis or thresholding. Yet, group-level analysis can veil individual differences and thresholding may overlook weaker but biologically critical brain connections. Additionally, machine learning-based AD prediction largely focuses on univariate outcomes, such as disease status. Here, we introduce explainable graph-theoretical machine learning (XGML), a framework employing kernel density estimation and dynamic time warping to construct individual metabolic brain graphs that capture the distance between pair-wise brain regions and identify subgraphs most predictive of multivariate AD-related outcomes. Using FDG-PET data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, XGML builds metabolic brain graphs and uncovers subgraphs predictive of eight AD-related cognitive scores in new subjects. XGML shows robust performance, particularly for predicting scores measuring learning, memory, language, praxis, and orientation, such as CDRSB ($r = 0.74$), ADAS11 ($r = 0.73$), and ADAS13 ($r = 0.71$). Moreover, XGML unveils key edges jointly but differentially predictive of several AD-related outcomes; they may serve as potential network biomarkers for assessing overall cognitive decline. Together, we show the promise of graph-theoretical machine learning in biomarker discovery and disease prediction and its potential to improve our understanding of network neural mechanisms underlying AD.

阿尔茨海默病脑网络可解释AIFDG-PET

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。