针对可修复硬件系统,提出新主动学习方法提升可靠性推断精度。
Active Learning For Repairable Hardware Systems With Partial Coverage
- 设计考虑诊断覆盖率与子系统重叠的混合整数半定规划获取函数
- 在6000种配置下,AUC和MSE指标均显著优于传统方法
- 适合硬件可靠性分析、维护优化领域的研究者与工程师
在固定预算和有限维护周期下,利用现场数据识别最优诊断测试及硬件实例以推断可靠性特征具有挑战性。现有主动学习(AL)方法在可修复硬件系统的可靠性参数推断中尚未充分探索,尤其缺乏兼顾硬件老化和部分测试覆盖的专用获取函数(AF)。本文提出一种松弛的混合整数半定规划(MISDP)AL AF,融合诊断覆盖率(DC)、费舍尔信息矩阵(FIM)与测试预算约束。通过基于实证的仿真实验,评估两种典型测试场景:(1)子系统覆盖重叠的部分测试;(2)一个测试完全包含另一测试的子系统覆盖。与文献中最常用的熵法及多个面向可靠性的直观方法相比,所提方法在6000个实验配置下,于绝对总期望事件误差(ATEER)和均方误差(MSE)曲线的面积(AUC)上平均表现最优,经弗里德曼检验(α=0.05)具统计显著性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Identifying the optimal diagnostic test and hardware system instance to infer reliability characteristics using field data is challenging, especially when constrained by fixed budgets and minimal maintenance cycles. Active Learning (AL) has shown promise for parameter inference with limited data and budget constraints in machine learning/deep learning tasks. However, AL for reliability model parameter inference remains underexplored for repairable hardware systems. It requires specialized AL Acquisition Functions (AFs) that consider hardware aging and the fact that a hardware system consists of multiple sub-systems, which may undergo only partial testing during a given diagnostic test. To address these challenges, we propose a relaxed Mixed Integer Semidefinite Program (MISDP) AL AF that incorporates Diagnostic Coverage (DC), Fisher Information Matrices (FIMs), and diagnostic testing budgets. Furthermore, we design empirical-based simulation experiments focusing on two diagnostic testing scenarios: (1) partial tests of a hardware system with overlapping subsystem coverage, and (2) partial tests where one diagnostic test fully subsumes the subsystem coverage of another. We evaluate our proposed approach against the most widely used AL AF in the literature (entropy), as well as several intuitive AL AFs tailored for reliability model parameter inference. Our proposed AF ranked best on average among the alternative AFs across 6,000 experimental configurations, with respect to Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Absolute Total Expected Event Error (ATEER) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) curves, with statistical significance calculated at a 0.05 alpha level using a Friedman hypothesis test.
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