arXiv:2503.17055cs.LGcs.AI2025-03被引 9

基于真实充电数据,发现影响充电桩利用率的三大关键因素。

Data-Driven Optimization of EV Charging Station Placement Using Causal Discovery

  • 用因果发现算法分析33万次充电记录,挖掘站点使用率与周边环境的关系。
  • 发现靠近设施、电动车密度高、临近主干道的区域需求最旺盛。
  • 为充电桩选址提供数据驱动策略,适合政策制定者和运营商参考。

本文针对电动汽车充电站布局优化问题,提出一种基于因果发现的数据驱动方法。传统方法多关注经济或电网约束,却忽略实际充电行为对使用率的影响。研究分析了来自帕洛阿尔托和博尔德的海量充电数据(共337,344条记录,覆盖100个站点),运用NOTEARS和DAGMA等结构学习算法,揭示出充电需求主要由三个因素决定:邻近设施、电动车注册密度以及毗邻高流量道路。该结论在多种算法和城市背景下均保持一致,挑战了传统的基础设施分布模式。研究构建了优化框架,将发现的依赖关系转化为可操作的选址建议,强调在高设施密度区集中布局、服务高电动车人群,而非均匀分布。该方法将真实充电行为融入基础设施规划,有望提升站点使用率与用户便利性,为不同发展阶段的电动车市场提供灵活有效的网络扩展策略。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This paper addresses the critical challenge of optimizing electric vehicle charging station placement through a novel data-driven methodology employing causal discovery techniques. While traditional approaches prioritize economic factors or power grid constraints, they often neglect empirical charging patterns that ultimately determine station utilization. We analyze extensive charging data from Palo Alto and Boulder (337,344 events across 100 stations) to uncover latent relationships between station characteristics and utilization. Applying structural learning algorithms (NOTEARS and DAGMA) to this data reveals that charging demand is primarily determined by three factors: proximity to amenities, EV registration density, and adjacency to high-traffic routes. These findings, consistent across multiple algorithms and urban contexts, challenge conventional infrastructure distribution strategies. We develop an optimization framework that translates these insights into actionable placement recommendations, identifying locations likely to experience high utilization based on the discovered dependency structures. The resulting site selection model prioritizes strategic clustering in high-amenity areas with substantial EV populations rather than uniform spatial distribution. Our approach contributes a framework that integrates empirical charging behavior into infrastructure planning, potentially enhancing both station utilization and user convenience. By focusing on data-driven insights instead of theoretical distribution models, we provide a more effective strategy for expanding charging networks that can adjust to various stages of EV market development.

充电桩布局因果发现数据驱动智能交通

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