arXiv:2503.18067cs.LG2025-03被引 7

让神经网络自己解释预测理由,提升可信度与效率

Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoring

  • 训练时同步生成预测与解释,而非事后补加
  • 解释更准确且推理速度更快,比传统方法快数倍
  • 适合需要透明决策的企业流程监控场景

预测性业务流程监控(PBPM)任务如下一活动预测,旨在从历史案例日志中生成有用预测。近年来,深度学习方法特别是序列到序列模型如长短期记忆网络(LSTM)已成为主流。然而,为增强模型透明度、建立预测信任并深入理解业务流程,解释模型决策至关重要。现有解释方法多为事后分析(post-hoc),训练后才生成解释,但存在忠实度低、计算成本高及对分布外样本敏感等问题。本文首次提出面向预测流程监控的自解释神经网络架构。该框架训练LSTM模型时同时输出预测与简洁解释,并优化目标函数以提升解释可靠性。实验表明,融入可解释性不影响性能,甚至在某些情况下提升精度;同时,本方法在解释忠实度和计算效率上显著优于事后方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Tasks in Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM), such as Next Activity Prediction, focus on generating useful business predictions from historical case logs. Recently, Deep Learning methods, particularly sequence-to-sequence models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), have become a dominant approach for tackling these tasks. However, to enhance model transparency, build trust in the predictions, and gain a deeper understanding of business processes, it is crucial to explain the decisions made by these models. Existing explainability methods for PBPM decisions are typically *post-hoc*, meaning they provide explanations only after the model has been trained. Unfortunately, these post-hoc approaches have shown to face various challenges, including lack of faithfulness, high computational costs and a significant sensitivity to out-of-distribution samples. In this work, we introduce, to the best of our knowledge, the first *self-explaining neural network* architecture for predictive process monitoring. Our framework trains an LSTM model that not only provides predictions but also outputs a concise explanation for each prediction, while adapting the optimization objective to improve the reliability of the explanation. We first demonstrate that incorporating explainability into the training process does not hurt model performance, and in some cases, actually improves it. Additionally, we show that our method outperforms post-hoc approaches in terms of both the faithfulness of the generated explanations and substantial improvements in efficiency.

可解释性LSTM流程监控

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