LeForecast用三大模型融合提升企业多领域预测效率
LeForecast: Enterprise Hybrid Forecast by Time Series Intelligence
- 融合大模型、多模态与混合模型构建预测引擎
- 在三个工业场景中实现高效精准预测,降低模型维护成本
- 适合需要跨部门智能决策的企业研发与运营团队
工业领域对跨学科预测需求激增,涵盖需求预测、产品规划、库存优化等任务,亟需从时序历史数据中学习并预判趋势。当前挑战在于理解复杂业务背景及建模的效率与泛化能力。为此,我们推出面向企业级时序任务的LeForecast平台,整合时序数据与多源信息,构建由大基础模型(Le-TSFM)、多模态模型和混合模型组成的三支柱建模引擎,实现洞察、预测与运营优化。平台包含模型池、模型画像模块及两种融合策略(路由融合网络与大小模型协同)。实验验证了融合方案的有效性:显著降低冗余模型开发与维护成本。在三个工业场景部署结果表明,LeForecast具备卓越且实用的性能,有望推动时序技术在企业中的落地应用。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Demand is spiking in industrial fields for multidisciplinary forecasting, where a broad spectrum of sectors needs planning and forecasts to streamline intelligent business management, such as demand forecasting, product planning, inventory optimization, etc. Specifically, these tasks expecting intelligent approaches to learn from sequentially collected historical data and then foresee most possible trend, i.e. time series forecasting. Challenge of it lies in interpreting complex business contexts and the efficiency and generalisation of modelling. With aspirations of pre-trained foundational models for such purpose, given their remarkable success of large foundation model across legions of tasks, we disseminate \leforecast{}, an enterprise intelligence platform tailored for time series tasks. It integrates advanced interpretations of time series data and multi-source information, and a three-pillar modelling engine combining a large foundation model (Le-TSFM), multimodal model and hybrid model to derive insights, predict or infer futures, and then drive optimisation across multiple sectors in enterprise operations. The framework is composed by a model pool, model profiling module, and two different fusion approaches regarding original model architectures. Experimental results verify the efficiency of our trail fusion concepts: router-based fusion network and coordination of large and small models, resulting in high costs for redundant development and maintenance of models. This work reviews deployment of LeForecast and its performance in three industrial use cases. Our comprehensive experiments indicate that LeForecast is a profound and practical platform for efficient and competitive performance. And we do hope that this work can enlighten the research and grounding of time series techniques in accelerating enterprise.
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