arXiv:2504.01692stat.APcs.AI2025-04被引 3

MRI影像中肿瘤分割差异对三阴性乳腺癌分型预测影响不大,稳定特征未必最有预测力。

Segmentation variability and radiomics stability for predicting Triple-Negative Breast Cancer subtype using Magnetic Resonance Imaging

  • 用SHAP方法选可解释的放射组学特征,训练逻辑回归模型。
  • 分割误差不影响预测性能,部分特征稳定性低但仍具预测价值。
  • 别只选高稳定特征,可能漏掉关键预测信号,适合临床研究者参考。

多数论文警告:未经筛选的放射组学特征易受勾画差异影响,应使用组内相关系数(ICC)评估特征稳定性。然而,分割变异对预测模型的直接影响少有研究。本研究基于杜克数据集244例MRI图像,通过修改手动勾画结果引入分割变异,采用SHAP方法选取可解释的放射组学特征,训练逻辑回归模型。通过ICC、皮尔逊相关系数及可靠性评分评估特征在不同分割下的稳定性与分割变异的关系。结果显示,分割精度对预测性能无显著影响;包含瘤周信息虽降低特征可重复性,但不削弱其预测能力;特征选择与分割稳定性无必然关联,提示过度依赖ICC或可靠性评分可能排除有价值的预测特征。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Most papers caution against using predictive models for disease stratification based on unselected radiomic features, as these features are affected by contouring variability. Instead, they advocate for the use of the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC) as a measure of stability for feature selection. However, the direct effect of segmentation variability on the predictive models is rarely studied. This study investigates the impact of segmentation variability on feature stability and predictive performance in radiomics-based prediction of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) subtype using Magnetic Resonance Imaging. A total of 244 images from the Duke dataset were used, with segmentation variability introduced through modifications of manual segmentations. For each mask, explainable radiomic features were selected using the Shapley Additive exPlanations method and used to train logistic regression models. Feature stability across segmentations was assessed via ICC, Pearson's correlation, and reliability scores quantifying the relationship between feature stability and segmentation variability. Results indicate that segmentation accuracy does not significantly impact predictive performance. While incorporating peritumoral information may reduce feature reproducibility, it does not diminish feature predictive capability. Moreover, feature selection in predictive models is not inherently tied to feature stability with respect to segmentation, suggesting that an overreliance on ICC or reliability scores for feature selection might exclude valuable predictive features.

放射组学乳腺癌MRI模型鲁棒性

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