arXiv:2504.06055cs.LG2025-04被引 1

用AI帮住宅节能改造做决策,还能解释理由并符合法规。

A Trustworthy By Design Classification Model for Building Energy Retrofit Decision Support

  • 用生成模型补数据,再用神经网络预测改造组合。
  • 在英威和拉脱维亚数据上性能提升最高53%。
  • 结果可解释,适合政策制定者和节能改造人员。

提升住宅建筑能效是应对气候变化、减少温室气体排放的关键。改造现有建筑——其能源消耗占比较大,尤其在老旧建筑集中的地区——成为重要任务。人工智能与机器学习可自动化改造决策并识别优化策略,但面临数据不足、模型不透明及欧盟《人工智能法案》等法规合规挑战。本文提出一种“可信设计”的基于机器学习的决策支持框架,仅需少量用户输入即可推荐住宅建筑节能改造方案。该框架结合条件表型生成对抗网络(CTGAN)扩充有限且不平衡的数据,并采用神经网络多标签分类器预测潜在改造组合。为增强可解释性与信任度,引入基于SHAP的可解释性层,阐明推荐依据并指导特征工程。两个案例验证了性能与泛化能力:一是使用英格兰与威尔士大型能效证书(EPC)数据集;二是使用拉脱维亚小型、不平衡的改造后数据集(RETROFIT-LAT)。结果表明,该框架能适应多样数据条件,在基准基础上性能提升最高达53%。整体上,该框架提供了可行、可解释、可信的AI系统,保障性能、可用性与透明度,助力利益相关方优先投入有效节能措施,支持合规、数据驱动的可持续能源转型创新。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Improving energy efficiency in residential buildings is critical to combating climate change and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Retrofitting existing buildings, which contribute a significant share of energy use, is therefore a key priority, especially in regions with outdated building stock. Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) can automate retrofit decision-making and find retrofit strategies. However, their use faces challenges of data availability, model transparency, and compliance with national and EU AI regulations including the AI act, ethics guidelines and the ALTAI. This paper presents a trustworthy-by-design ML-based decision support framework that recommends energy efficiency strategies for residential buildings using minimal user-accessible inputs. The framework merges Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks (CTGAN) to augment limited and imbalanced data with a neural network-based multi-label classifier that predicts potential combinations of retrofit actions. To support explanation and trustworthiness, an Explainable AI (XAI) layer using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) clarifies the rationale behind recommendations and guides feature engineering. Two case studies validate performance and generalization: the first leveraging a well-established, large EPC dataset for England and Wales; the second using a small, imbalanced post-retrofit dataset from Latvia (RETROFIT-LAT). Results show that the framework can handle diverse data conditions and improve performance up to 53% compared to the baseline. Overall, the proposed framework provides a feasible, interpretable, and trustworthy AI system for building retrofit decision support through assured performance, usability, and transparency to aid stakeholders in prioritizing effective energy investments and support regulation-compliant, data-driven innovation in sustainable energy transition.

节能改造可信AI可解释性

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