用自监督学习分析太空物体行为,实现异常检测与运动预测。
A Self-Supervised Framework for Space Object Behaviour Characterisation
- 基于自监督重建训练的变分自编码器,从22.7万条光变曲线中学习特征。
- 微调后异常检测准确率达85%,运动模式预测ROC AUC达0.95。
- 适用于太空安全监控,可生成合成数据支持航天器行为分析。
基础模型通过在无标签数据上预训练大神经网络,再微调至特定任务,正被应用于专业领域。尽管已有ClimaX用于气候、Clay用于卫星遥感,但尚无针对空间物体行为分析的基础模型。随着轨道物体数量增长,自动化行为表征对空间安全至关重要。本文提出首个自监督框架用于空间物体行为分析(SOBA),作为迈向该领域基础模型的第一步。核心采用Perceiver-变分自编码器(VAE)架构,在约22.7万条来自MMT-9观测站的光变曲线数据上,通过自监督重建和掩码重建进行预训练。该模型可实现异常检测、运动预测及合成光变曲线生成。我们使用两个独立光变模拟器(CASSANDRA与GRIAL),结合Boxwing、Sentinel-3、SMOS及Starlink平台的CAD模型进行微调。预训练模型重建均方误差为0.0012,通过重建难度识别潜在异常光变曲线。微调后,异常检测准确率分别为85%和82%,对应ROC AUC为0.92与0.95;运动模式预测表现优异。对真实数据高置信度预测的分析揭示了典型物体轮廓与卫星闪光特征。结果表明,自监督学习可从丰富预训练表征中同时实现异常检测、运动预测与合成数据生成,支持空间安全与可持续性监测。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Foundation Models, which leverage large neural networks pre-trained on unlabelled data before fine-tuning for specific tasks, are increasingly being applied to specialised domains. Recent examples include ClimaX for climate and Clay for satellite Earth observation, but a Foundation Model for Space Object Behavioural Analysis has not yet been developed. As orbital populations grow, automated methods for characterising space object behaviour are crucial for space safety. Here, we present a self-supervised framework for space object behavioural analysis, representing a first step towards a Foundation Model for SOBA. The backbone is a Perceiver-Variational Autoencoder (VAE) architecture, pre-trained with self-supervised reconstruction and masked reconstruction on ~227,000 light curves from the MMT-9 observatory. The VAE enables anomaly detection, motion prediction, and synthetic light curve generation. We fine-tuned the model using two independent light curve simulators (CASSANDRA and GRIAL), with CAD models of boxwing, Sentinel-3, SMOS, and Starlink platforms. Our pre-trained model achieved a reconstruction mean squared error of 0.0012, identifying potentially anomalous light curves through reconstruction difficulty. After fine-tuning, the model scored 85% and 82% accuracy, with 0.92 and 0.95 ROC AUC scores in anomaly detection and motion mode prediction (e.g., sun-pointing, spin, tumbling). Analysis of high-confidence predictions on real data revealed distinct patterns including characteristic object profiles and satellite glinting. Our work demonstrates how self-supervised learning can simultaneously enable anomaly detection, motion prediction, and synthetic data generation from rich pre-trained representations, supporting space safety and sustainability through automated monitoring and simulation.
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