构建多模态气候数据集,用简单生成方法提升预测能力
ClimateBench-M: A Multi-Modal Climate Data Benchmark with a Simple Generative Method
- 融合ERA5、NOAA、NASA HLS三类数据,统一时空粒度
- 生成模型在天气预报、雷暴预警、作物分割任务中表现优异
- 适合气候建模、AI+地球科学交叉研究者使用
气候科学研究地球气候系统的结构与动态,通常以时间序列形式存储数据,包含气候特征、地理位置、时间属性等。近年来,气候基准数据集受到广泛关注,除常规天气预报外,已有研究拓展至热带气旋强度预测、洪灾损失评估等专用场景,或以自然语言形式输出气候声明与置信度。为推动气候科学中通用人工智能的发展,本文首次提出多模态气候基准 ClimateBench-M,整合(1)来自 ERA5 的时间序列气候数据,(2)来自 NOAA 的极端天气事件数据,以及(3)来自 NASA HLS 的卫星图像数据,并基于统一时空粒度对齐。在每种模态下,我们还提出一种简单但强大的生成方法,在 ClimateBench-M 上实现了天气预报、雷暴预警和作物分割任务的竞争力表现。ClimateBench-M 的数据与代码已公开于 https://github.com/iDEA-iSAIL-Lab-UIUC/ClimateBench-M。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Climate science studies the structure and dynamics of Earth's climate system and seeks to understand how climate changes over time, where the data is usually stored in the format of time series, recording the climate features, geolocation, time attributes, etc. Recently, much research attention has been paid to the climate benchmarks. In addition to the most common task of weather forecasting, several pioneering benchmark works are proposed for extending the modality, such as domain-specific applications like tropical cyclone intensity prediction and flash flood damage estimation, or climate statement and confidence level in the format of natural language. To further motivate the artificial general intelligence development for climate science, in this paper, we first contribute a multi-modal climate benchmark, i.e., ClimateBench-M, which aligns (1) the time series climate data from ERA5, (2) extreme weather events data from NOAA, and (3) satellite image data from NASA HLS based on a unified spatial-temporal granularity. Second, under each data modality, we also propose a simple but strong generative method that could produce competitive performance in weather forecasting, thunderstorm alerts, and crop segmentation tasks in the proposed ClimateBench-M. The data and code of ClimateBench-M are publicly available at https://github.com/iDEA-iSAIL-Lab-UIUC/ClimateBench-M.
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