arXiv:2504.09103cs.RO2025-04中稿 · ICRA被引 7

同时预测行为意图与轨迹,提升自动驾驶预测的准确与效率。

IMPACT: Behavioral Intention-aware Multimodal Trajectory Prediction with Adaptive Context Trimming

  • 共享上下文编码器联合预测意图与轨迹,减少冗余和信息丢失。
  • 在Waymo数据集上单模型超越第二名10%的softmAP,无需模型融合。
  • 可动态修剪无关元素,适合部署于实时自动驾驶系统。

现有研究多聚焦于提升多模态轨迹预测精度,但对行为意图(如让行、超车)的显式建模仍较少。本文提出统一框架,联合预测行为意图与轨迹,以提升预测精度、可解释性与效率。采用共享上下文编码器,减少结构冗余与信息损失;针对主流数据集(Waymo、Argoverse)缺乏真实意图标签的问题,通过自动标注推进该方向。引入向量化的占用预测模块,估计目标车辆未来轨迹占据地图线段的概率。利用这些先验信息,在解码阶段动态、按模态地裁剪无关智能体与地图线段,显著降低计算开销并抑制噪声。本方法在无激光雷达的Waymo Motion Dataset上排名第一,在Waymo Interactive Prediction Dataset上位列第一。尤为突出的是,单模型即实现比第二名高出10%的softmAP,且已成功部署于实车,验证了其实际应用有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

While most prior research has focused on improving the precision of multimodal trajectory predictions, the explicit modeling of multimodal behavioral intentions (e.g., yielding, overtaking) remains relatively underexplored. This paper proposes a unified framework that jointly predicts both behavioral intentions and trajectories to enhance prediction accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency. Specifically, we employ a shared context encoder for both intention and trajectory predictions, thereby reducing structural redundancy and information loss. Moreover, we address the lack of ground-truth behavioral intention labels in mainstream datasets (Waymo, Argoverse) by auto-labeling these datasets, thus advancing the community's efforts in this direction. We further introduce a vectorized occupancy prediction module that infers the probability of each map polyline being occupied by the target vehicle's future trajectory. By leveraging these intention and occupancy prediction priors, our method conducts dynamic, modality-dependent pruning of irrelevant agents and map polylines in the decoding stage, effectively reducing computational overhead and mitigating noise from non-critical elements. Our approach ranks first among LiDAR-free methods on the Waymo Motion Dataset and achieves first place on the Waymo Interactive Prediction Dataset. Remarkably, even without model ensembling, our single-model framework improves the soft mean average precision (softmAP) by 10 percent compared to the second-best method in the Waymo Interactive Prediction Leaderboard. Furthermore, the proposed framework has been successfully deployed on real vehicles, demonstrating its practical effectiveness in real-world applications.

轨迹预测行为意图自动驾驶

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