arXiv:2504.09257cs.LGcs.AI2025-04

用多模态数据预测印度公司财报后的股价波动

MiMIC: Multi-Modal Indian Earnings Calls Dataset to Predict Stock Prices

  • 融合财报文本、图表与财务指标进行多模态建模
  • 在印度3大指数成分股上验证了预测有效性
  • 公开数据集支持计算金融领域后续研究

预测公司财报电话会议后的股价走势对投资者和研究者仍是重大挑战,需创新方法处理多元信息。本研究通过引入多模态预测模型,利用财报电话会议的文字转录、配套演示中的图像与表格,预测会议次日的股价变动。为推动该研究,我们构建了涵盖富时印度50、中盘50及小盘50指数成分公司的MiMIC(多模态印度财报电话会议)数据集,包含财报文字、演示材料、基本面数据、技术指标及后续股价。提出一种多模态分析框架,整合量化变量与来自文本和视觉模态的预测信号,实现全面特征表示与分析。该方法展示了融合多元信息提升金融预测准确性的潜力。为促进计算经济学研究,我们已将MiMIC数据集以CC-NC-SA-4.0许可公开。本工作丰富了企业沟通对市场反应的研究,并凸显多模态机器学习在金融分析中的有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Predicting stock market prices following corporate earnings calls remains a significant challenge for investors and researchers alike, requiring innovative approaches that can process diverse information sources. This study investigates the impact of corporate earnings calls on stock prices by introducing a multi-modal predictive model. We leverage textual data from earnings call transcripts, along with images and tables from accompanying presentations, to forecast stock price movements on the trading day immediately following these calls. To facilitate this research, we developed the MiMIC (Multi-Modal Indian Earnings Calls) dataset, encompassing companies representing the Nifty 50, Nifty MidCap 50, and Nifty Small 50 indices. The dataset includes earnings call transcripts, presentations, fundamentals, technical indicators, and subsequent stock prices. We present a multimodal analytical framework that integrates quantitative variables with predictive signals derived from textual and visual modalities, thereby enabling a holistic approach to feature representation and analysis. This multi-modal approach demonstrates the potential for integrating diverse information sources to enhance financial forecasting accuracy. To promote further research in computational economics, we have made the MiMIC dataset publicly available under the CC-NC-SA-4.0 licence. Our work contributes to the growing body of literature on market reactions to corporate communications and highlights the efficacy of multi-modal machine learning techniques in financial analysis.

多模态金融预测财报分析数据集

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