不用造父变星校准,用超新星速度约束哈勃常数和原初宇宙
Anchors no more: Using peculiar velocities to constrain $H_0$ and the primordial Universe without calibrators
- 将超新星当作奇特速度场的示踪器,无需距离标尺直接建模
- 在1000颗超新星下实现哈勃常数10%、原初谱振幅15%的精度
- 代码开源,适合未来低红移超新星巡天研究者使用
我们提出一种新方法,利用Ⅰa型超新星(SNIa)数据约束哈勃参数 $H_0$ 和原初功率谱振幅 $A_ ext{s}$。通过将SNIa视为奇特速度场的示踪器,可建模其距离与协方差对宇宙学参数的依赖关系,无需依赖造父变星等校准源;这为大尺度结构提供了基于SNIa数据的新独立探针。关键在于,我们在JAX中实现了可微分流水线,结合高效模拟器与仿射采样,使推断时间从数年缩短至单张GPU上数小时。首先在模拟数据上验证,使用约 $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ 颗SNIa可将 $H_0$ 和 $\log 10^{10}A_ ext{s}$ 约束在10%和15%以内。接着在 $N$-体模拟的SNIa数据中,获得6%级无偏 $H_0$ 约束(中等噪声水平)。最后应用于Pantheon+数据,在固定 $A_ ext{s}$ 为 $\it{Planck}$ 值时,无需造父变星即可实现 $H_0$ 15%精度约束;若包含造父变星,则 $\log 10^{10}A_ ext{s}$ 可达20%精度,与 $\it{Planck}$ 结果一致。随着未来的齐基斯基瞬变源巡天(ZTF)和薇拉·鲁宾天文台时空巡天(LSST)提供大量低红移SNIa数据,本方法潜力将充分释放,代码已公开。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We develop a novel approach to constrain the Hubble parameter $H_0$ and the primordial power spectrum amplitude $A_\mathrm{s}$ using type Ia supernovae (SNIa) data. By considering SNIa as tracers of the peculiar velocity field, we can model their distance and their covariance as a function of cosmological parameters without the need of calibrators like Cepheids; this yields a new independent probe of the large-scale structure based on SNIa data without distance anchors. Crucially, we implement a differentiable pipeline in JAX, including efficient emulators and affine sampling, reducing inference time from years to hours on a single GPU. We first validate our method on mock datasets, demonstrating that we can constrain $H_0$ and $\log 10^{10}A_\mathrm{s}$ within $10\%$ and $15\%$, respectively, using $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ SNIa. We then test our pipeline with SNIa from an $N$-body simulation, obtaining $6\%$-level unbiased constraints on $H_0$ with a moderate noise level. We finally apply our method to Pantheon+ data, constraining $H_0$ at the $15\%$ level without Cepheids when fixing $A_\mathrm{s}$ to its $\it{Planck}$ value. On the other hand, we obtain $20\%$-level constraints on $\log 10^{10}A_\mathrm{s}$ in agreement with $\it{Planck}$ when including Cepheids in the analysis. In light of upcoming observations of low redshift SNIa from the Zwicky Transient Facility and the Vera Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time, surveys for which our method will develop its full potential, we make our code publicly available.
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