轻量级Transformer提升风电中长期预测精度与效率
Fast-Powerformer: A Memory-Efficient Transformer for Accurate Mid-Term Wind Power Forecasting
- 基于Reformer改进,引入轻量LSTM嵌入与频域注意力机制
- 在多个真实风电数据集上实现更高精度与更快推理速度
- 适合需低延迟、低内存的工业级风电预测部署场景
风力发电预测(WPF)是可再生能源领域的重要研究方向,对保障电网安全、稳定与经济运行具有关键作用。然而,由于气象因素(如风速)的高度随机性及风电输出的显著波动,中长期风电预测面临高精度与计算效率的双重挑战。为此,本文提出一种高效轻量的中长期风电预测模型Fast-Powerformer。该模型基于Reformer架构,引入轻量级长短期记忆(LSTM)嵌入模块、输入转置机制以及频率增强通道注意力机制(FECAM),强化时序特征提取,优化多变量依赖建模,显著降低计算复杂度,并提升对周期模式与主导频率成分的敏感性。在多个真实风电场数据集上的实验表明,Fast-Powerformer相比主流方法在预测精度和运行效率方面均表现更优,同时具备快速推理速度与低内存占用,展现出显著的实际部署价值。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of meteorological factors (e.g., wind speed) and significant fluctuations in wind power output, mid-term wind power forecasting faces a dual challenge of maintaining high accuracy and computational efficiency. To address these issues, this paper proposes an efficient and lightweight mid-term wind power forecasting model, termed Fast-Powerformer. The proposed model is built upon the Reformer architecture, incorporating structural enhancements such as a lightweight Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) embedding module, an input transposition mechanism, and a Frequency Enhanced Channel Attention Mechanism (FECAM). These improvements enable the model to strengthen temporal feature extraction, optimize dependency modeling across variables, significantly reduce computational complexity, and enhance sensitivity to periodic patterns and dominant frequency components. Experimental results conducted on multiple real-world wind farm datasets demonstrate that the proposed Fast-Powerformer achieves superior prediction accuracy and operational efficiency compared to mainstream forecasting approaches. Furthermore, the model exhibits fast inference speed and low memory consumption, highlighting its considerable practical value for real-world deployment scenarios.
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