arXiv:2504.15541cs.ROcs.LG2025-04被引 21

提出交互感知的风险预测框架,提升自动驾驶在长尾场景下的安全评估能力。

RiskNet: Interaction-Aware Risk Forecasting for Autonomous Driving in Long-Tail Scenarios

  • 基于场论建模车辆与环境的交互力,实现多维度风险评估。
  • 融合图神经网络预测多模态轨迹,在复杂交互中实现动态风险推断。
  • 在高速公路、交叉口等场景下表现优异,适合高不确定性驾驶决策应用。

确保自动驾驶车辆在长尾场景中的安全性仍是一大挑战,尤其是在高不确定性与复杂的多智能体交互环境下。为此,我们提出 RiskNet,一个交互感知的风险预测框架,将确定性风险建模与概率行为预测相结合,实现全面的风险评估。其核心采用场论模型,通过交互场和作用力捕捉自车、周围交通参与者及基础设施之间的相互作用,支持在高速路、交叉口和环形道等多种场景下的多维风险评估,并在高风险和长尾设置下表现出强鲁棒性。为捕捉行为不确定性,引入基于图神经网络(GNN)的轨迹预测模块,学习未来运动的多模态分布。结合确定性风险场,实现随时间动态的概率风险推断,可在不确定性下进行主动安全评估。在 highD、inD 和 rounD 数据集上,涵盖变道、转弯和复杂合流等任务的评测表明,该方法在准确性、响应速度和方向敏感性方面显著优于传统方法(如 TTC、THW、RSS、NC Field),同时保持良好的跨场景泛化能力。该框架支持实时、场景自适应的风险预测,在不确定驾驶环境中展现出强大泛化性,为长尾场景下的安全关键决策提供统一基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Ensuring the safety of autonomous vehicles (AVs) in long-tail scenarios remains a critical challenge, particularly under high uncertainty and complex multi-agent interactions. To address this, we propose RiskNet, an interaction-aware risk forecasting framework, which integrates deterministic risk modeling with probabilistic behavior prediction for comprehensive risk assessment. At its core, RiskNet employs a field-theoretic model that captures interactions among ego vehicle, surrounding agents, and infrastructure via interaction fields and force. This model supports multidimensional risk evaluation across diverse scenarios (highways, intersections, and roundabouts), and shows robustness under high-risk and long-tail settings. To capture the behavioral uncertainty, we incorporate a graph neural network (GNN)-based trajectory prediction module, which learns multi-modal future motion distributions. Coupled with the deterministic risk field, it enables dynamic, probabilistic risk inference across time, enabling proactive safety assessment under uncertainty. Evaluations on the highD, inD, and rounD datasets, spanning lane changes, turns, and complex merges, demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms traditional approaches (e.g., TTC, THW, RSS, NC Field) in terms of accuracy, responsiveness, and directional sensitivity, while maintaining strong generalization across scenarios. This framework supports real-time, scenario-adaptive risk forecasting and demonstrates strong generalization across uncertain driving environments. It offers a unified foundation for safety-critical decision-making in long-tail scenarios.

自动驾驶风险预测多智能体交互长尾场景

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