融合多阶意图信息,提升行人轨迹预测精度
SocialMOIF: Multi-Order Intention Fusion for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
- 设计多阶意图融合模型,捕捉邻近群体的间接影响
- 在多个数据集上优于现有最优模型,误差降低显著
- 适合智能交通、机器人导航等需精准预测场景
智能系统中对行人的轨迹分析与预测对于决策至关重要,精确的短时轨迹预测在诸多应用中具有重要意义。尽管研究者们已从不同角度量化和建模了个体及其社交互动,但当前方法仍受限于个体意图的固有不确定性以及邻近群体间复杂的高阶影响。为此,本文提出SocialMOIF,聚焦于邻近群体间的高阶意图交互,同时强化邻居与目标个体间的一阶意图交互作用。该方法构建多阶意图融合模型,以更全面理解直接与间接意图信息。在SocialMOIF中,设计轨迹分布逼近器,引导预测轨迹更贴近真实数据,提升模型可解释性;引入全局轨迹优化器,实现更准确高效的并行预测。通过结合考虑距离与方向的新损失函数训练,实验结果表明,该模型在动态与静态数据集上均超越先前最先进基线,在多项指标上表现更优。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The analysis and prediction of agent trajectories are crucial for decision-making processes in intelligent systems, with precise short-term trajectory forecasting being highly significant across a range of applications. Agents and their social interactions have been quantified and modeled by researchers from various perspectives; however, substantial limitations exist in the current work due to the inherent high uncertainty of agent intentions and the complex higher-order influences among neighboring groups. SocialMOIF is proposed to tackle these challenges, concentrating on the higher-order intention interactions among neighboring groups while reinforcing the primary role of first-order intention interactions between neighbors and the target agent. This method develops a multi-order intention fusion model to achieve a more comprehensive understanding of both direct and indirect intention information. Within SocialMOIF, a trajectory distribution approximator is designed to guide the trajectories toward values that align more closely with the actual data, thereby enhancing model interpretability. Furthermore, a global trajectory optimizer is introduced to enable more accurate and efficient parallel predictions. By incorporating a novel loss function that accounts for distance and direction during training, experimental results demonstrate that the model outperforms previous state-of-the-art baselines across multiple metrics in both dynamic and static datasets.
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