将物理模型与深度学习结合,提升农业预测的准确性与泛化能力。
Deep Learning Meets Process-Based Models: A Hybrid Approach to Agricultural Challenges
- 用神经网络优化物理模型,或用物理规律约束深度学习。
- 混合模型在不同数据质量下均优于纯物理或纯深度学习模型。
- 适合需要可解释性与高精度的农业决策场景。
过程模型(PBMs)和深度学习(DL)是农业建模的两大主流方法。前者基于物理和生物原理,具备可解释性和科学严谨性,但存在可扩展性差、参数化困难及对异质环境适应性弱的问题;后者擅长从大数据中捕捉复杂非线性关系,却面临可解释性差、计算成本高及小样本易过拟合的挑战。本文系统综述了PBMs、DL模型及混合PBM-DL框架在农业与环境建模中的应用,将混合方法分为两类:以神经网络改进过程模型(DL-informed PBM),以及以物理约束指导深度学习(PBM-informed DL)。通过作物干物质预测的案例研究,对比了混合模型与独立模型在不同数据质量、样本量和空间条件下的表现。结果表明,混合模型在噪声数据中更具鲁棒性,且在未见区域具有更强泛化能力。最后讨论了可解释性、可扩展性和数据需求等关键挑战,并提出推动农业混合建模发展的具体建议。通过融合领域知识与人工智能,该研究为构建可扩展、可解释、可复现的农业模型提供了新路径,支持可持续农业的数据驱动决策。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Process-based models (PBMs) and deep learning (DL) are two key approaches in agricultural modelling, each offering distinct advantages and limitations. PBMs provide mechanistic insights based on physical and biological principles, ensuring interpretability and scientific rigour. However, they often struggle with scalability, parameterisation, and adaptation to heterogeneous environments. In contrast, DL models excel at capturing complex, nonlinear patterns from large datasets but may suffer from limited interpretability, high computational demands, and overfitting in data-scarce scenarios. This study presents a systematic review of PBMs, DL models, and hybrid PBM-DL frameworks, highlighting their applications in agricultural and environmental modelling. We classify hybrid PBM-DL approaches into DL-informed PBMs, where neural networks refine process-based models, and PBM-informed DL, where physical constraints guide deep learning predictions. Additionally, we conduct a case study on crop dry biomass prediction, comparing hybrid models against standalone PBMs and DL models under varying data quality, sample sizes, and spatial conditions. The results demonstrate that hybrid models consistently outperform traditional PBMs and DL models, offering greater robustness to noisy data and improved generalisation across unseen locations. Finally, we discuss key challenges, including model interpretability, scalability, and data requirements, alongside actionable recommendations for advancing hybrid modelling in agriculture. By integrating domain knowledge with AI-driven approaches, this study contributes to the development of scalable, interpretable, and reproducible agricultural models that support data-driven decision-making for sustainable agriculture.
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