用数字孪生提前预警无人船异常状态,提升航行安全。
Digital Twin-based Out-of-Distribution Detection in Autonomous Vessels
- 构建双模型数字孪生,预测船舶未来状态及是否偏离正常范围。
- 在多种模拟场景下,检测准确率高达99%,误报率极低。
- 适合无人船安全系统开发与测试人员使用。
无人船(AV)是复杂的软硬件结合系统,其导航等功能依赖软件实现。数字孪生技术可支持假设分析、预测性维护和故障诊断。随着技术进步,实时处理船舶运行数据已成为可能。然而,现有研究较少关注基于机器学习构建的数字孪生在无人船实时数据分析中的应用。为此,本文提出一种新型数字孪生方法(ODDIT),可在无人船进入异常状态前进行提前预警,实现主动干预。该方法通过两个机器学习模型分别预测未来船舶状态及其是否为分布外(OOD)状态。我们在五艘船的路径航行与蛇形机动模拟场景下进行了评估,涵盖传感器噪声、执行器误差和海流干扰等环境扰动。实验结果显示,ODDIT在多艘船上均表现出色,平均AUROC达99%,且在真阳性率达到95%时,特异度(TNR)也高达99%。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
An autonomous vessel (AV) is a complex cyber-physical system (CPS) with software enabling many key functionalities, e.g., navigation software enables an AV to autonomously or semi-autonomously follow a path to its destination. Digital twins of such AVs enable advanced functionalities such as running what-if scenarios, performing predictive maintenance, and enabling fault diagnosis. Due to technological improvements, real-time analyses using continuous data from vessels' real-time operations have become increasingly possible. However, the literature has little explored developing advanced analyses in real-time data in AVs with digital twins built with machine learning techniques. To this end, we present a novel digital twin-based approach (ODDIT) to detect future out-of-distribution (OOD) states of an AV before reaching them, enabling proactive intervention. Such states may indicate anomalies requiring attention (e.g., manual correction by the ship master) and assist testers in scenario-centered testing. The digital twin consists of two machine-learning models predicting future vessel states and whether the predicted state will be OOD. We evaluated ODDIT with five vessels across waypoint and zigzag maneuvering under simulated conditions, including sensor and actuator noise and environmental disturbances i.e., ocean current. ODDIT achieved high accuracy in detecting OOD states, with AUROC and TNR@TPR95 scores reaching 99\% across multiple vessels.
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