仅用智能手表数据,实时预测跑步时的心率与耗氧量。
From Lab to Wrist: Bridging Metabolic Monitoring and Consumer Wearables for Heart Rate and Oxygen Consumption Modeling
- 用微分方程和神经卡尔曼滤波建模心率动态,精度达2.81 bpm。
- 仅需初始1秒耗氧数据即可预测全程代谢需求,误差约13%。
- 让普通人也能享受实验室级代谢监测,适合运动训练者使用。
理解跑步时的生理反应对优化表现、定制训练方案和运动员健康管理至关重要。我们提出首个仅依赖消费级可穿戴设备数据即可预测瞬时耗氧量(VO₂)轨迹的综合框架。方法包含两个互补模型:(1) 通过生理约束的常微分方程与神经卡尔曼滤波,基于超过300万次心率观测训练,实现每秒预测,平均绝对误差低至2.81 bpm(相关系数0.87);(2) 借助精准心率建模原理,设计新型VO₂预测架构,仅需初始1秒的VO₂数据校准,即可实现序列到序列的代谢需求估计。尽管仅依赖智能手表与胸带数据,该方法在多种跑步强度下均能有效捕捉快速生理转变与稳态,平均绝对百分比误差约为13%。同步采集的数据集结合血乳酸测量,为未来无创代谢区间识别奠定基础。通过将生理约束融入现代机器学习,该框架实现了实验室级精度与日常可及性的融合,赋能精英运动员与大众健身爱好者。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Understanding physiological responses during running is critical for performance optimization, tailored training prescriptions, and athlete health management. We introduce a comprehensive framework -- what we believe to be the first capable of predicting instantaneous oxygen consumption (VO$_{2}$) trajectories exclusively from consumer-grade wearable data. Our approach employs two complementary physiological models: (1) accurate modeling of heart rate (HR) dynamics via a physiologically constrained ordinary differential equation (ODE) and neural Kalman filter, trained on over 3 million HR observations, achieving 1-second interval predictions with mean absolute errors as low as 2.81\,bpm (correlation 0.87); and (2) leveraging the principles of precise HR modeling, a novel VO$_{2}$ prediction architecture requiring only the initial second of VO$_{2}$ data for calibration, enabling robust, sequence-to-sequence metabolic demand estimation. Despite relying solely on smartwatch and chest-strap data, our method achieves mean absolute percentage errors of approximately 13\%, effectively capturing rapid physiological transitions and steady-state conditions across diverse running intensities. Our synchronized dataset, complemented by blood lactate measurements, further lays the foundation for future noninvasive metabolic zone identification. By embedding physiological constraints within modern machine learning, this framework democratizes advanced metabolic monitoring, bridging laboratory-grade accuracy and everyday accessibility, thus empowering both elite athletes and recreational fitness enthusiasts.
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