arXiv:2505.01948cs.LGcs.AI2025-05AAAI被引 7

通过多尺度图学习提升河流水温精细预测,解决小尺度数据不足问题。

Multi-Scale Graph Learning for Anti-Sparse Downscaling

  • 构建多任务框架,利用粗尺度数据增强细尺度图学习
  • 引入跨尺度插值任务,利用流域水文连通性建立跨尺度连接
  • 提出异步训练机制,提升模型灵活性与实用性

同一子流域内短距离的水温变化可能显著。在细空间分辨率(≤1公里)下准确预测河流水温,有助于精准干预以维持水质和保护水生栖息地。尽管时空模型在粗分辨率时间序列建模上取得进展,但在细空间尺度上的预测仍因缺乏该尺度数据而面临挑战。为解决细尺度数据不足问题,本文提出多尺度图学习(MSGL)方法。该方法采用多任务学习框架,利用更大数据集支持的粗尺度图学习,同时提升细尺度图学习性能。现有方法虽整合多尺度数据,但常忽略不同尺度图结构间的空间对应关系。为此,MSGL引入额外的跨尺度插值学习任务,利用粗-细尺度图间流段位置的水文连通性建立跨尺度关联,从而提升整体性能。此外,突破同步训练限制,提出异步多尺度图学习(ASYNC-MSGL)。大量实验表明,该方法在美国内华达河盆地日尺度河流水温反稀疏下采样任务中达到领先水平,展现出在水资源监测与管理中的应用潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Water temperature can vary substantially even across short distances within the same sub-watershed. Accurate prediction of stream water temperature at fine spatial resolutions (i.e., fine scales, $\leq$ 1 km) enables precise interventions to maintain water quality and protect aquatic habitats. Although spatiotemporal models have made substantial progress in spatially coarse time series modeling, challenges persist in predicting at fine spatial scales due to the lack of data at that scale.To address the problem of insufficient fine-scale data, we propose a Multi-Scale Graph Learning (MSGL) method. This method employs a multi-task learning framework where coarse-scale graph learning, bolstered by larger datasets, simultaneously enhances fine-scale graph learning. Although existing multi-scale or multi-resolution methods integrate data from different spatial scales, they often overlook the spatial correspondences across graph structures at various scales. To address this, our MSGL introduces an additional learning task, cross-scale interpolation learning, which leverages the hydrological connectedness of stream locations across coarse- and fine-scale graphs to establish cross-scale connections, thereby enhancing overall model performance. Furthermore, we have broken free from the mindset that multi-scale learning is limited to synchronous training by proposing an Asynchronous Multi-Scale Graph Learning method (ASYNC-MSGL). Extensive experiments demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of our method for anti-sparse downscaling of daily stream temperatures in the Delaware River Basin, USA, highlighting its potential utility for water resources monitoring and management.

水温预测多尺度学习图神经网络流域建模

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