arXiv:2505.02874cs.LGcs.AI2025-05综述被引 26

系统梳理医疗AI中不确定性量化方法,助力模型更可靠可信

Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey

  • 按模型开发全流程梳理不确定性量化方法
  • 指出当前医疗领域应用仍有限,需跨领域融合新方法
  • 适合关注AI安全与临床可信度的研究者和从业者

不确定性量化(UQ)对于提升医疗机器学习系统的鲁棒性、可靠性与可解释性至关重要,有助于优化资源并改善患者护理。尽管已出现基于ML的临床决策支持工具,但对模型不确定性的系统性量化仍是主要挑战。现有综述多聚焦特定医疗领域,缺乏对不同模型开发阶段方法有效性的系统评估。本文全面分析当前医疗UQ进展,提出一个整合框架,说明各类方法如何融入数据处理、训练与评估等阶段。同时识别出医疗领域常用方法,并介绍来自其他领域的新型潜在适用技术。本研究旨在为医疗ML流程中实施UQ提供清晰挑战与机遇图景,指导研究者和实践者选择合适技术,增强对医疗AI解决方案的可靠性、安全性与临床信任。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is pivotal in enhancing the robustness, reliability, and interpretability of Machine Learning (ML) systems for healthcare, optimizing resources and improving patient care. Despite the emergence of ML-based clinical decision support tools, the lack of principled quantification of uncertainty in ML models remains a major challenge. Current reviews have a narrow focus on analyzing the state-of-the-art UQ in specific healthcare domains without systematically evaluating method efficacy across different stages of model development, and despite a growing body of research, its implementation in healthcare applications remains limited. Therefore, in this survey, we provide a comprehensive analysis of current UQ in healthcare, offering an informed framework that highlights how different methods can be integrated into each stage of the ML pipeline including data processing, training and evaluation. We also highlight the most popular methods used in healthcare and novel approaches from other domains that hold potential for future adoption in the medical context. We expect this study will provide a clear overview of the challenges and opportunities of implementing UQ in the ML pipeline for healthcare, guiding researchers and practitioners in selecting suitable techniques to enhance the reliability, safety and trust from patients and clinicians on ML-driven healthcare solutions.

不确定性量化医疗AI可信AI模型可靠性

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