arXiv:2505.04158cs.LG2025-05AAAI被引 36

通过频域动态滤波,提升多变量时间序列预测精度与效率

FilterTS: Comprehensive Frequency Filtering for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

  • 利用变量间动态交叉滤波,捕捉共享频率特征
  • 在8个真实数据集上显著优于现有方法
  • 频域计算替代时域卷积,加速模型推理

多变量时间序列预测在多个领域至关重要,准确提取复杂的周期性和趋势成分能显著提升预测性能。然而,现有模型难以捕捉这些复杂模式。为此,我们提出FilterTS,一种基于频域的新型预测模型。该模型引入动态跨变量滤波模块,动态利用其他变量作为滤波器,以提取并增强多变量时间序列中共享的频率成分;同时,静态全局滤波模块捕捉在整个训练集中稳定的频率成分。此外,模型构建于频域,将时域卷积转换为频域乘法操作,提升计算效率。在八个真实世界数据集上的大量实验表明,FilterTS在预测精度和计算效率方面均显著优于现有方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to capture these intricate patterns. To address these challenges, we propose FilterTS, a novel forecasting model that utilizes specialized filtering techniques based on the frequency domain. FilterTS introduces a Dynamic Cross-Variable Filtering Module, a key innovation that dynamically leverages other variables as filters to extract and reinforce shared variable frequency components across variables in multivariate time series. Additionally, a Static Global Filtering Module captures stable frequency components, identified throughout the entire training set. Moreover, the model is built in the frequency domain, converting time-domain convolutions into frequency-domain multiplicative operations to enhance computational efficiency. Extensive experimental results on eight real-world datasets have demonstrated that FilterTS significantly outperforms existing methods in terms of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.

时间序列频域分析多变量预测

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