arXiv:2505.05478eess.SPcs.LG2025-05被引 4

用电表数据推断人数和设备能耗,实现大规模建筑智能调控

OccuEMBED: Occupancy Extraction Merged with Building Energy Disaggregation for Occupant-Responsive Operation at Scale

  • 通过电表数据联合推断人数与系统能耗,构建统一分析框架
  • 离散人数识别F1超0.8,连续人数比例误差在0.1–0.2之间
  • 模型可嵌入运维平台,支持人本化节能与电网柔性响应

建筑占全球能源消耗和排放的重要比例,高效运行至关重要。随着可再生能源渗透率提升,电力系统波动加剧,建筑需提供灵活性以支撑电网稳定。建筑自动化通过集中管理提升能效与灵活性,但需兼顾使用者舒适性。然而,将用户信息融入大规模集中式运营仍受限于数据。本文研究利用整栋建筑的智能电表数据,推断人员活动状态与系统运行情况。将这些洞察整合至数据驱动的建筑能耗分析中,可在大规模下实现更以人为本的节能与灵活性。提出OccuEMBED框架,统一处理人员推断与系统级负荷分析,包含概率型人员分布生成器及基于Kolmogorov-Arnold网络(KAN)的可控可解释负荷分解器。该设计将人员模式与负荷-人员-天气关系知识嵌入深度学习模型。在合成与真实数据集上全面评估,结果表明其在离散人员推断中平均F1超过0.8,在连续人员比例预测中均方根误差(RMSE)保持在0.1–0.2之间。进一步展示其如何集成至建筑负荷监控平台,实现人员画像可视化、系统运行分析与响应策略制定。本模型为应对能源系统演变挑战,推动以人为本的建筑管理系统规模化奠定了坚实基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Buildings account for a significant share of global energy consumption and emissions, making it critical to operate them efficiently. As electricity grids become more volatile with renewable penetration, buildings must provide flexibility to support grid stability. Building automation plays a key role in enhancing efficiency and flexibility via centralized operations, but it must prioritize occupant-centric strategies to balance energy and comfort targets. However, incorporating occupant information into large-scale, centralized building operations remains challenging due to data limitations. We investigate the potential of using whole-building smart meter data to infer both occupancy and system operations. Integrating these insights into data-driven building energy analysis allows more occupant-centric energy-saving and flexibility at scale. Specifically, we propose OccuEMBED, a unified framework for occupancy inference and system-level load analysis. It combines two key components: a probabilistic occupancy profile generator, and a controllable and interpretable load disaggregator supported by Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN). This design embeds knowledge of occupancy patterns and load-occupancy-weather relationships into deep learning models. We conducted comprehensive evaluations to demonstrate its effectiveness across synthetic and real-world datasets compared to various occupancy inference baselines. OccuEMBED always achieved average F1 scores above 0.8 in discrete occupancy inference and RMSE within 0.1-0.2 for continuous occupancy ratios. We further demonstrate how OccuEMBED integrates with building load monitoring platforms to display occupancy profiles, analyze system-level operations, and inform occupant-responsive strategies. Our model lays a robust foundation in scaling occupant-centric building management systems to meet the challenges of an evolving energy system.

建筑节能负荷分解人员推断

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