arXiv:2505.06743cs.ROcs.AI2025-05中稿 · the 36th IEEE Inte…被引 5

融合多类交通参与者先验知识,提升轨迹预测的可解释性与物理合理性。

TPK: Trustworthy Trajectory Prediction Integrating Prior Knowledge For Interpretability and Kinematic Feasibility

  • 设计类别特异性交互层,结合规则化重要性评分增强交互可解释性。
  • 提出新型行人运动学模型,在保持精度的同时消除不合理的轨迹。
  • 适用于需要高可信度的自动驾驶场景,尤其适合对安全要求严苛的系统。

轨迹预测对自动驾驶至关重要,能帮助车辆预判周边交通参与者的行为以实现安全导航。然而当前深度学习模型常因物理不可行或违背常识而缺乏可信度。现有方法虽引入社会力模型和运动学模型,但多仅针对单一类型(如车辆或行人),难以泛化至混合交通场景。本文提出统一建模车辆、行人与骑行者三类主体的交互与运动学先验,采用类别特异性交互层捕捉行为差异;引入基于规则的交互重要性评分DG-SFM,提升交互逻辑可解释性;并为各类别设计合适运动学模型,提出新型行人运动学模型。在Argoverse 2数据集上以HPTR为基线进行测试,结果表明:本方法显著提升交互可解释性,错误预测与偏离先验程度相关;尽管运动学模型使精度略有下降,但有效剔除数据集及基线中不合理的轨迹。整体提升了预测的可信度,其推理过程可解释且符合物理规律。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, enabling vehicles to navigate safely by anticipating the movements of surrounding road users. However, current deep learning models often lack trustworthiness as their predictions can be physically infeasible and illogical to humans. To make predictions more trustworthy, recent research has incorporated prior knowledge, like the social force model for modeling interactions and kinematic models for physical realism. However, these approaches focus on priors that suit either vehicles or pedestrians and do not generalize to traffic with mixed agent classes. We propose incorporating interaction and kinematic priors of all agent classes--vehicles, pedestrians, and cyclists with class-specific interaction layers to capture agent behavioral differences. To improve the interpretability of the agent interactions, we introduce DG-SFM, a rule-based interaction importance score that guides the interaction layer. To ensure physically feasible predictions, we proposed suitable kinematic models for all agent classes with a novel pedestrian kinematic model. We benchmark our approach on the Argoverse 2 dataset, using the state-of-the-art transformer HPTR as our baseline. Experiments demonstrate that our method improves interaction interpretability, revealing a correlation between incorrect predictions and divergence from our interaction prior. Even though incorporating the kinematic models causes a slight decrease in accuracy, they eliminate infeasible trajectories found in the dataset and the baseline model. Thus, our approach fosters trust in trajectory prediction as its interaction reasoning is interpretable, and its predictions adhere to physics.

轨迹预测可解释性运动学模型自动驾驶

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