让水网故障诊断结果可解释,帮助工程师理解算法判断依据。
Interpretable Event Diagnosis in Water Distribution Networks
- 用反事实指纹对比当前诊断与替代解释的差异
- 在L-Town基准上验证,提升诊断可理解性
- 适合需结合经验决策的水务运维人员
智能水务系统中,传感器数据可用于检测泄漏或污染等异常事件。但数据驱动方法常因不可信而遭操作员抵制,他们更依赖工程经验。本文提出可解释事件诊断框架,通过提供反事实解释(即对比当前诊断与最接近的其他可能解释),帮助操作员理解算法逻辑,实现经验与算法结果的结合决策。具体提出‘反事实事件指纹’表示两种诊断结果的差异,支持图形化展示。方法在真实场景的L-Town基准上应用并评估,显著提升诊断过程的可解释性与可信度。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The increasing penetration of information and communication technologies in the design, monitoring, and control of water systems enables the use of algorithms for detecting and identifying unanticipated events (such as leakages or water contamination) using sensor measurements. However, data-driven methodologies do not always give accurate results and are often not trusted by operators, who may prefer to use their engineering judgment and experience to deal with such events. In this work, we propose a framework for interpretable event diagnosis -- an approach that assists the operators in associating the results of algorithmic event diagnosis methodologies with their own intuition and experience. This is achieved by providing contrasting (i.e., counterfactual) explanations of the results provided by fault diagnosis algorithms; their aim is to improve the understanding of the algorithm's inner workings by the operators, thus enabling them to take a more informed decision by combining the results with their personal experiences. Specifically, we propose counterfactual event fingerprints, a representation of the difference between the current event diagnosis and the closest alternative explanation, which can be presented in a graphical way. The proposed methodology is applied and evaluated on a realistic use case using the L-Town benchmark.
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