分析拉美16国4.8万人数据，发现教育与政治立场决定对AI失业的担忧程度。
Will AI Take My Job? Evolving Perceptions of Automation and Labor Risk in Latin America
- 基于四轮民意调查，用统计模型识别出教育与政治倾向是核心影响因素。
- 2018年担忧达峰值，不同国家民众呈现明显态度分群特征。
- 揭示新兴经济体公众对自动化恐惧的社会结构性根源，填补全球北方研究空白。
随着人工智能和机器人技术日益重塑全球劳动力市场，理解公众对这些技术的看法变得至关重要。本文利用拉丁美洲巴罗梅特（Latinobarómetro）2017、2018、2020和2023年四轮调查数据，分析来自16个国家超过4.8万名受访者的回答，探讨对人工智能与机器人导致失业的恐惧。通过统计建模与潜在类别分析，识别出教育水平和政治取向是最稳定的预测因素。研究发现，担忧程度存在显著的时间与跨国差异，2018年达到峰值，并通过潜分类分析揭示出不同的态度群体。结果为新兴经济体中人工智能焦虑的社会与结构性维度提供了新见解，拓展了对自动化公众态度的理解，超越了全球北方的局限。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
As artificial intelligence and robotics increasingly reshape the global labor market, understanding public perceptions of these technologies becomes critical. We examine how these perceptions have evolved across Latin America, using survey data from the 2017, 2018, 2020, and 2023 waves of the Latinobarómetro. Drawing on responses from over 48,000 individuals across 16 countries, we analyze fear of job loss due to artificial intelligence and robotics. Using statistical modeling and latent class analysis, we identify key structural and ideological predictors of concern, with education level and political orientation emerging as the most consistent drivers. Our findings reveal substantial temporal and cross-country variation, with a notable peak in fear during 2018 and distinct attitudinal profiles emerging from latent segmentation. These results offer new insights into the social and structural dimensions of AI anxiety in emerging economies and contribute to a broader understanding of public attitudes toward automation beyond the Global North.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品；中文卡片由大模型生成，请以原文为准。