揭示Transformer学习策略的进化机制：环境稳定则调参，环境多变则用上下文。

The success of Transformers lies in their ability to improve inference through two complementary strategies: the permanent refinement of model parameters via in-weight learning (IWL), and the ephemeral modulation of inferences via in-context learning (ICL), which leverages contextual information maintained in the model's activations. Evolutionary biology tells us that the predictability of the environment across timescales predicts the extent to which analogous strategies should be preferred. Genetic evolution adapts to stable environmental features by gradually modifying the genotype over generations. Conversely, environmental volatility favors plasticity, which enables a single genotype to express different traits within a lifetime, provided there are reliable cues to guide the adaptation. We operationalize these dimensions (environmental stability and cue reliability) in controlled task settings (sinusoid regression and Omniglot classification) to characterize their influence on learning in Transformers. We find that stable environments favor IWL, often exhibiting a sharp transition when conditions are static. Conversely, reliable cues favor ICL, particularly when the environment is volatile. Furthermore, an analysis of learning dynamics reveals task-dependent transitions between strategies (ICL to IWL and vice versa). We demonstrate that these transitions are governed by (1) the asymptotic optimality of the strategy with respect to the environment, and (2) the optimization cost of acquiring that strategy, which depends on the task structure and the learner's inductive bias.