arXiv:2505.09987eess.SYcs.RO2025-05被引 1

提出安全且类人驾驶的跟车行为分析框架,揭示经典模型缺陷。

Provably safe and human-like car-following behaviors: Part 1. Analysis of phases and dynamics in standard models

  • 基于多阶段动力系统分析跟车模型,定义舒适与安全准则。
  • 发现智驾模型在加速度与制动上不满足人类驾驶约束。
  • 为下一代自动驾驶跟车模型设计提供理论依据,适合交通仿真研究者。

轨迹规划对应对通信、感知及天气、路况、政策和其它道路使用者等不确定性至关重要。现有跟车模型常缺乏严格的安全部署证明,且难以一致复现人类驾驶行为。本文对经典跟车模型应用多阶段动力系统分析,揭示其特性与局限性。首先提出安全与类人驾驶的基本原则:零阶原则包括舒适间距与最小拥堵间距,一阶原则涉及速度与时间间隔,二阶原则涵盖舒适加减速边界与制动策略。由零阶与一阶原则推导出新尔(Newell)简化模型。接着分析该模型及其扩展在恒定前车问题中的速度-间距平面内各阶段行为,包含加速度与减速度限制。进一步评估智能驾驶员模型(IDM)与吉普斯模型(Gipps)的表现,发现其部分原则无法满足。数值模拟与实证数据验证了理论结论。最后讨论未来研究方向,详见本研究第二部分,将构建一种基于多阶段投影的新式跟车模型,以解决上述问题。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Trajectory planning is essential for ensuring safe driving in the face of uncertainties related to communication, sensing, and dynamic factors such as weather, road conditions, policies, and other road users. Existing car-following models often lack rigorous safety proofs and the ability to replicate human-like driving behaviors consistently. This article applies multi-phase dynamical systems analysis to well-known car-following models to highlight the characteristics and limitations of existing approaches. We begin by formulating fundamental principles for safe and human-like car-following behaviors, which include zeroth-order principles for comfort and minimum jam spacings, first-order principles for speeds and time gaps, and second-order principles for comfort acceleration/deceleration bounds as well as braking profiles. From a set of these zeroth- and first-order principles, we derive Newell's simplified car-following model. Subsequently, we analyze phases within the speed-spacing plane for the stationary lead-vehicle problem in Newell's model and its extensions, which incorporate both bounded acceleration and deceleration. We then analyze the performance of the Intelligent Driver Model and the Gipps model. Through this analysis, we highlight the limitations of these models with respect to some of the aforementioned principles. Numerical simulations and empirical observations validate the theoretical insights. Finally, we discuss future research directions to further integrate safety, human-like behaviors, and vehicular automation in car-following models, which are addressed in Part 2 of this study \citep{jin2025WA20-02_Part2}, where we develop a novel multi-phase projection-based car-following model that addresses the limitations identified here.

跟车模型自动驾驶安全驾驶动力系统

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