LanTu利用动力学增强深度学习,提升海洋涡旋预报精度与效率。
LanTu: Dynamics-Enhanced Deep Learning for Eddy-Resolving Ocean Forecasting
- 融合多尺度交互与物理约束,基于涡旋动力学优化模型。
- 在温度、盐度、海平面异常等指标上,10天以上预报优于现有系统。
- 适合需要高精度区域海洋预报的渔业与航海安全应用。
中尺度涡旋主导了海洋时空多尺度变化,其对全球海洋能量级联的影响不可忽视。涡旋解析型海洋预报对渔业和航行安全提供更可靠保障,但传统数值模型面临重大科学挑战与高昂计算成本。基于人工智能的天气与海洋预报系统正成为平衡预测性能与计算效率的强大工具。然而,海洋动力系统的复杂多尺度特征使人工智能模型在中尺度涡旋预报(尤其是区域建模)方面仍面临诸多挑战。本文提出LanTu,一种基于动力学增强深度学习的区域涡旋解析海洋预报系统。通过引入跨尺度相互作用并构建多尺度物理约束,以涡旋动力学知识指导模型优化,提升对中尺度演变的预报能力。结果表明,LanTu在温度、盐度、海平面异常和流速预测上,领先于现有的先进业务数值海洋预报系统(NOFS)和基于AI的海洋预报系统(AI-OFS),且具备超过10天的预报时效。本研究强调,动力学增强深度学习(LanTu)可成为涡旋解析海洋预报的有力范式。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Mesoscale eddies dominate the spatiotemporal multiscale variability of the ocean, and their impact on the energy cascade of the global ocean cannot be ignored. Eddy-resolving ocean forecasting is providing more reliable protection for fisheries and navigational safety, but also presents significant scientific challenges and high computational costs for traditional numerical models. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather and ocean forecasting systems are becoming powerful tools that balance forecast performance with computational efficiency. However, the complex multiscale features in the ocean dynamical system make AI models still face many challenges in mesoscale eddy forecasting (especially regional modelling). Here, we develop LanTu, a regional eddy-resolving ocean forecasting system based on dynamics-enhanced deep learning. We incorporate cross-scale interactions into LanTu and construct multiscale physical constraint for optimising LanTu guided by knowledge of eddy dynamics in order to improve the forecasting skill of LanTu for mesoscale evolution. The results show that LanTu outperforms the existing advanced operational numerical ocean forecasting system (NOFS) and AI-based ocean forecasting system (AI-OFS) in temperature, salinity, sea level anomaly and current prediction, with a lead time of more than 10 days. Our study highlights that dynamics-enhanced deep learning (LanTu) can be a powerful paradigm for eddy-resolving ocean forecasting.
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