arXiv:2505.10278cs.AI2025-05被引 11

用多智能体模拟直接生成投资组合,提升收益与稳定性。

MASS: Muli-agent simulation scaling for portfolio construction

  • 通过反向优化动态分配异构智能体,实现端到端组合构建。
  • 智能体数量达512时,超额收益随规模指数增长。
  • 适用于追求高收益、强鲁棒性的量化投资研究者。

基于大模型的智能体在金融投资中展现出巨大潜力,但现有方法常依赖预测个股走势或固定流程,限制了其适应性与有效性。本文提出多智能体规模模拟框架(MASS),通过多智能体仿真直接进行端到端投资组合构建。核心是采用反向优化动态学习异构智能体的最优分布,使系统能适应市场变化。关键发现:随着智能体数量呈指数级增长(最高至512个),聚合决策带来的超额收益持续提升。在2023年中国A股市场自收集数据集上的大量实验表明,MASS始终优于七种前沿基线方法。进一步的回测、稳定性分析及防数据泄露实验验证了其更高的盈利性与鲁棒性。代码、数据集与训练快照已开源(https://github.com/gta0804/MASS/),以推动后续研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The application of LLM-based agents in financial investment has shown significant promise, yet existing approaches often require intermediate steps like predicting individual stock movements or rely on predefined, static workflows. These limitations restrict their adaptability and effectiveness in constructing optimal portfolios. In this paper, we introduce the Multi-Agent Scaling Simulation (MASS), a novel framework that leverages multi-agent simulation for direct, end-to-end portfolio construction. At its core, MASS employs a backward optimization process to dynamically learn the optimal distribution of heterogeneous agents, enabling the system to adapt to evolving market regimes. A key finding enabled by our framework is the exploration of the scaling effect for portfolio construction: we demonstrate that as the number of agents increases exponentially (up to 512), the aggregated decisions yield progressively higher excess returns. Extensive experiments on a challenging, self-collected dataset from the 2023 Chinese A-share market show that MASS consistently outperforms seven state-of-the-art baselines. Further backtesting, stability analyses and the experiment on data leakage concerns validate its enhanced profitability and robustness. We have open-sourced our code, dataset, and training snapshots at https://github.com/gta0804/MASS/ to foster further research.

多智能体投资组合强化学习量化交易

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