arXiv:2505.15155q-fin.CPcs.AI2025-05NeurIPS被引 39

用多智能体自动优化金融因子与模型,提升策略收益与鲁棒性

R&D-Agent-Quant: A Multi-Agent Framework for Data-Centric Factors and Model Joint Optimization

  • 构建研究-开发-反馈闭环,通过智能体协同实现因子与模型联合优化
  • 实测年化收益提升2倍,仅用70%因子数即超越传统因子库和先进时序模型
  • 适合量化研究者快速迭代策略,尤其关注自动化与可解释性的团队

金融市场因其高维度、非平稳性和持续波动性,给资产收益预测带来根本挑战。尽管大语言模型和多智能体系统取得进展,现有量化研究流程仍存在自动化程度低、可解释性差、关键环节(如因子挖掘与模型创新)协作碎片化等问题。本文提出面向量化金融的R&D-Agent(简称RD-Agent(Q)),首个以数据为中心的多智能体框架,通过协同因子-模型联合优化,实现量化策略全栈研发自动化。该框架将量化过程分解为两个迭代阶段:研究阶段动态设定目标对齐提示,基于领域先验形成假设并映射为具体任务;开发阶段采用代码生成智能体Co-STEER实现任务专属代码,并在真实市场回测中执行。两阶段通过反馈阶段连接,全面评估实验结果并指导后续迭代,由多臂老虎机调度器实现方向自适应选择。实证显示,RD-Agent(Q)相比经典因子库实现最高2倍的年化收益,因子使用量减少70%,且在真实市场中超越当前最优深度时序模型。其联合优化机制在预测精度与策略鲁棒性间取得良好平衡。代码已开源:https://github.com/microsoft/RD-Agent。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Financial markets pose fundamental challenges for asset return prediction due to their high dimensionality, non-stationarity, and persistent volatility. Despite advances in large language models and multi-agent systems, current quantitative research pipelines suffer from limited automation, weak interpretability, and fragmented coordination across key components such as factor mining and model innovation. In this paper, we propose R&D-Agent for Quantitative Finance, in short RD-Agent(Q), the first data-centric multi-agent framework designed to automate the full-stack research and development of quantitative strategies via coordinated factor-model co-optimization. RD-Agent(Q) decomposes the quant process into two iterative stages: a Research stage that dynamically sets goal-aligned prompts, formulates hypotheses based on domain priors, and maps them to concrete tasks, and a Development stage that employs a code-generation agent, Co-STEER, to implement task-specific code, which is then executed in real-market backtests. The two stages are connected through a feedback stage that thoroughly evaluates experimental outcomes and informs subsequent iterations, with a multi-armed bandit scheduler for adaptive direction selection. Empirically, RD-Agent(Q) achieves up to 2X higher annualized returns than classical factor libraries using 70% fewer factors, and outperforms state-of-the-art deep time-series models on real markets. Its joint factor-model optimization delivers a strong balance between predictive accuracy and strategy robustness. Our code is available at: https://github.com/microsoft/RD-Agent.

多智能体量化金融联合优化自动化研究

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