用大模型让电力负荷预测可交互,普通人也能参与改进预测结果。
Large Language Model-Empowered Interactive Load Forecasting
- 设计多智能体框架,通过自然语言实现人机协同预测
- 用户在关键阶段提供洞察后,预测准确率显著提升
- 降低技术门槛,适合电力调度员等非专业人员使用
电力系统复杂度不断提升,精准负荷预测日益重要。现有方法多为静态设计,缺乏人机交互机制。作为主要使用者的系统操作员常因缺乏人工智能知识而难以理解和应用先进模型,也难以将实际经验融入预测过程。近期大语言模型(LLM)的发展为此提供了新机遇。本文提出一种基于LLM的多智能体协作框架,通过专用智能体分工合作,并以专用通信机制协同,贯穿整个负荷预测流程。该框架嵌入交互机制,降低非专家用户的使用门槛,支持融入人类经验。实验表明,当用户在关键阶段提供有效洞察时,交互式预测精度显著提升。成本分析显示该框架仍具可行性,适用于实际部署。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The growing complexity of power systems has made accurate load forecasting more important than ever. An increasing number of advanced load forecasting methods have been developed. However, the static design of current methods offers no mechanism for human-model interaction. As the primary users of forecasting models, system operators often find it difficult to understand and apply these advanced models, which typically requires expertise in artificial intelligence (AI). This also prevents them from incorporating their experience and real-world contextual understanding into the forecasting process. Recent breakthroughs in large language models (LLMs) offer a new opportunity to address this issue. By leveraging their natural language understanding and reasoning capabilities, we propose an LLM-based multi-agent collaboration framework to bridge the gap between human operators and forecasting models. A set of specialized agents is designed to perform different tasks in the forecasting workflow and collaborate via a dedicated communication mechanism. This framework embeds interactive mechanisms throughout the load forecasting pipeline, reducing the technical threshold for non-expert users and enabling the integration of human experience. Our experiments demonstrate that the interactive load forecasting accuracy can be significantly improved when users provide proper insight in key stages. Our cost analysis shows that the framework remains affordable, making it practical for real-world deployment.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。