arXiv:2505.20583stat.MLcs.LG2025-05NeurIPS被引 1

平衡收益与成本,优化最佳选项识别效率

Balancing Performance and Costs in Best Arm Identification

  • 设计风险函数,同时考虑识别成本与错误代价
  • 理论下界证明可实现近最优性能,匹配理想表现
  • 适合实际场景如广告测试,需权衡投入与回报者

我们研究多臂赌博机中的最佳臂识别问题。尽管传统固定预算和固定置信度框架已有大量研究,但实践中仍难以选择合适方法及参数。为此,我们提出一种新范式:最小化显式平衡推荐臂性能与学习成本的风险函数。采样阶段每观测一次即产生成本,推荐臂若非最优则产生性能惩罚。学习者目标是最小化总惩罚与成本之和。该框架更贴合实际需求,如最大化A/B测试利润。我们推导了两种性能惩罚(误识概率与简单遗憾)的风险下界,并提出算法DB CARE,在几乎所有问题实例上以多对数因子逼近这些下界。模拟实验表明,相较于经典固定预算/置信度方法,该框架能更好应对实际权衡挑战。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We consider the problem of identifying the best arm in a multi-armed bandit model. Despite a wealth of literature in the traditional fixed budget and fixed confidence regimes of the best arm identification problem, it still remains a mystery to most practitioners as to how to choose an approach and corresponding budget or confidence parameter. We propose a new formalism to avoid this dilemma altogether by minimizing a risk functional which explicitly balances the performance of the recommended arm and the cost incurred by learning this arm. In this framework, a cost is incurred for each observation during the sampling phase, and upon recommending an arm, a performance penalty is incurred for identifying a suboptimal arm. The learner's goal is to minimize the sum of the penalty and cost. This new regime mirrors the priorities of many practitioners, e.g. maximizing profit in an A/B testing framework, better than classical fixed budget or confidence settings. We derive theoretical lower bounds for the risk of each of two choices for the performance penalty, the probability of misidentification and the simple regret, and propose an algorithm called DBCARE to match these lower bounds up to polylog factors on nearly all problem instances. We then demonstrate the performance of DBCARE on a number of simulated models, comparing to fixed budget and confidence algorithms to show the shortfalls of existing BAI paradigms on this problem.

多臂赌博机决策优化风险平衡

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