arXiv:2505.22356cs.LGcs.AI2025-05ICML被引 4

通过分析模型输出特征,实时检测分类器在真实场景中的性能下降。

Suitability Filter: A Statistical Framework for Classifier Evaluation in Real-World Deployment Settings

论文配图:Suitability Filter: A Statistical Framework for Classifier Evaluation in Real-World Deployment Settings
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 利用模型输出的敏感特征作为适配度信号,识别数据分布变化。
  • 通过统计检验比较测试集与用户数据的分布差异,判断准确率是否下降超限。
  • 适用于各类模型和高风险场景,可提前发现潜在失效问题。

在安全关键领域部署机器学习模型时,一个核心挑战是:在无法获得真实标签的情况下,确保模型在下游用户数据上的可靠表现。本文提出适配度过滤器(Suitability Filter),一种新框架,通过分析对协变量偏移敏感的模型输出特征(即适配度信号),来检测性能退化。该方法评估未标注用户数据上的分类准确率是否显著低于标注测试集上的准确率,并确保此退化不超过预设的可接受阈值。为实现可靠的评估,我们聚合测试数据与用户数据的适配度信号,采用统计假设检验比较其经验分布,从而揭示决策不确定性。该模块化方法可适应多种模型与应用场景。在多个分类任务上的实证结果表明,适配度过滤器能有效检测由协变量偏移引发的性能偏差,有助于在高风险应用中主动防范潜在失败。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Deploying machine learning models in safety-critical domains poses a key challenge: ensuring reliable model performance on downstream user data without access to ground truth labels for direct validation. We propose the suitability filter, a novel framework designed to detect performance deterioration by utilizing suitability signals -- model output features that are sensitive to covariate shifts and indicative of potential prediction errors. The suitability filter evaluates whether classifier accuracy on unlabeled user data shows significant degradation compared to the accuracy measured on the labeled test dataset. Specifically, it ensures that this degradation does not exceed a pre-specified margin, which represents the maximum acceptable drop in accuracy. To achieve reliable performance evaluation, we aggregate suitability signals for both test and user data and compare these empirical distributions using statistical hypothesis testing, thus providing insights into decision uncertainty. Our modular method adapts to various models and domains. Empirical evaluations across different classification tasks demonstrate that the suitability filter reliably detects performance deviations due to covariate shift. This enables proactive mitigation of potential failures in high-stakes applications.

模型评估分布偏移可靠性统计检验

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