arXiv:2505.23421cs.LG2025-05被引 2

联合优化商品选品与库存,提升生鲜电商前置仓履约率

OTPTO: Joint Product Selection and Inventory Optimization in Fresh E-commerce Front-End Warehouses

  • 构建先优化后预测再优化的多任务框架,对齐库存目标与销售预测
  • 在京东7Fresh平台实验中,履约率提升4.34%,接近理论最优水平
  • 适合关注生鲜电商库存管理、供应链优化的研究者与从业者

在中国竞争激烈的生鲜电商市场中,优化运营策略,尤其是前置仓的库存管理,是提升客户满意度和获得竞争优势的关键。前置仓设于居民区以确保生鲜商品及时送达,但通常规模较小,面临在容量限制下决定哪些商品上架及数量的挑战。传统‘预测-再优化’(PTO)方法因预测与库存目标不一致且忽视消费者满意度而效果有限。本文提出一种多任务‘优化-预测-再优化’(OTPTO)方法,联合优化商品选品与库存管理,旨在通过最大化完整订单履约率来提升消费者满意度。该方法采用0-1混合整数规划模型OM1确定历史最优库存水平,随后使用产品选型模型PM1和上架模型PM2进行预测,并通过后处理算法OM2进一步优化。在京东7Fresh平台的实验表明,相比传统PTO方法,本方法显著提升完整订单履约率4.34%(相对提高7.05%),并缩小与最优履约率之间的差距达5.27%。结果验证了OTPTO方法在生鲜电商平台前置仓库存管理中的有效性,为该领域未来研究提供重要参考。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In China's competitive fresh e-commerce market, optimizing operational strategies, especially inventory management in front-end warehouses, is key to enhance customer satisfaction and to gain a competitive edge. Front-end warehouses are placed in residential areas to ensure the timely delivery of fresh goods and are usually in small size. This brings the challenge of deciding which goods to stock and in what quantities, taking into account capacity constraints. To address this issue, traditional predict-then-optimize (PTO) methods that predict sales and then decide on inventory often don't align prediction with inventory goals, as well as fail to prioritize consumer satisfaction. This paper proposes a multi-task Optimize-then-Predict-then-Optimize (OTPTO) approach that jointly optimizes product selection and inventory management, aiming to increase consumer satisfaction by maximizing the full order fulfillment rate. Our method employs a 0-1 mixed integer programming model OM1 to determine historically optimal inventory levels, and then uses a product selection model PM1 and the stocking model PM2 for prediction. The combined results are further refined through a post-processing algorithm OM2. Experimental results from JD.com's 7Fresh platform demonstrate the robustness and significant advantages of our OTPTO method. Compared to the PTO approach, our OTPTO method substantially enhances the full order fulfillment rate by 4.34% (a relative increase of 7.05%) and narrows the gap to the optimal full order fulfillment rate by 5.27%. These findings substantiate the efficacy of the OTPTO method in managing inventory at front-end warehouses of fresh e-commerce platforms and provide valuable insights for future research in this domain.

库存优化生鲜电商多任务学习运筹优化

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