arXiv:2505.24505cs.LGmath.OC2025-05

用真实电网数据评估学习优化的无功功率调度,发现模型在现实场景下表现显著下降

Learning to Optimally Dispatch Power: Performance on a Nation-Wide Real-World Dataset

  • 基于真实电网数据训练学习优化模型,替代传统仿真数据
  • 真实需求与发电数据使预测误差大幅上升,超出合成数据15%以上
  • 适合电力系统优化与可再生能源接入研究者参考

最优无功功率调度(ORPD)在电力系统运行中至关重要,能保障电压稳定并降低损耗。近年来,机器学习尤其是“学习优化”框架,已实现对ORPD解的快速高效近似,通常通过在预计算的优化结果上训练模型。尽管这些方法在合成数据上表现良好,但在真实电网条件下的有效性仍不明确。本文有两大贡献:首先,我们公开了一个包含乌拉圭电网结构特征及近两年真实运行数据的电力系统数据集,涵盖实际负荷和发电曲线;由于乌拉圭可再生能源渗透率高,ORPD已成为其电网的主要优化挑战。其次,我们评估了真实数据对学习型ORPD解决方案的影响,发现从合成数据转向实际负荷与发电输入时,预测误差显著增加。结果表明,现有模型难以捕捉真实电网复杂统计特性,凸显了对更强大架构的需求。通过提供该数据集,我们旨在推动电力系统管理中鲁棒学习优化技术的研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The Optimal Reactive Power Dispatch (ORPD) problem plays a crucial role in power system operations, ensuring voltage stability and minimizing power losses. Recent advances in machine learning, particularly within the ``learning to optimize'' framework, have enabled fast and efficient approximations of ORPD solutions, typically by training models on precomputed optimization results. While these approaches have demonstrated promising performance on synthetic datasets, their effectiveness under real-world grid conditions remains largely unexplored. This paper makes two key contributions. First, we introduce a publicly available power system dataset that includes both the structural characteristics of Uruguay's electrical grid and nearly two years of real-world operational data, encompassing actual demand and generation profiles. Given Uruguay's high penetration of renewable energy, the ORPD problem has become the primary optimization challenge in its power network. Second, we assess the impact of real-world data on learning-based ORPD solutions, revealing a significant increase in prediction errors when transitioning from synthetic to actual demand and generation inputs. Our results highlight the limitations of existing models in learning under the complex statistical properties of real grid conditions and emphasize the need for more expressive architectures. By providing this dataset, we aim to facilitate further research into robust learning-based optimization techniques for power system management.

无功调度电力系统学习优化真实数据

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