让大模型更懂时间序列分类,通过定制化思考和融合判断提升准确率。
Enhancing LLM Reasoning for Time Series Classification by Tailored Thinking and Fused Decision
- 设计多轮思考流程,引导模型关注时间序列特征
- 融合外部分类器预测与置信度,显著提升分类精度
- 能识别并纠正其他模型的错误预测,适合实际应用
大型语言模型(LLMs)的推理能力显著提升了其在各类任务中的表现。然而将此类能力应用于时间序列分类(TSC)仍具挑战性,现有文本领域推理方法直接迁移效果有限。本文提出ReasonTSC框架,通过多轮推理与融合决策策略,专门优化时间序列分类。该框架首先引导模型关注时间序列的本质特征;随后引入领域专用分类器(如TS-Transformer、InceptionTime)的预测结果与置信度作为上下文示例;最后通过结构化推理流程——评估初始判断、回溯考虑备选假设、比较优劣后做出最终分类。大量实验与消融研究显示,ReasonTSC在多个数据集上优于现有基线与插件模型,并具备识别和修正插件模型误判的能力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have significantly advanced their performance by enabling in-depth understanding of diverse tasks. With growing interest in applying LLMs to the time series domain, this has proven nontrivial, as evidenced by the limited efficacy of straightforwardly adapting text-domain reasoning techniques. Although recent work has shown promise in several time series tasks, further leveraging advancements in LLM reasoning remains under-explored for time series classification (TSC) tasks, despite their prevalence and significance in many real-world applications. In this paper, we propose ReasonTSC, a novel framework designed to effectively leverage LLM reasoning for time series classification through both a multi-turn reasoning and a fused decision-making strategy tailored to TSC. Rather than straightforwardly applying existing reasoning techniques or relying solely on LLMs' built-in reasoning capabilities, ReasonTSC first steers the model to think over the essential characteristics of time series data. Next, it integrates predictions and confidence scores from plug-in classifiers, e.g., domain-specific time series models, as in-context examples. Finally, ReasonTSC guides the LLM through a structured reasoning process: it evaluates the initial assessment, backtracks to consider alternative hypotheses, and compares their merits before arriving at a final classification. Extensive experiments and systematic ablation studies demonstrate that ReasonTSC consistently outperforms both existing time series reasoning baselines and plug-in models, and is even capable of identifying and correcting plug-in models' false predictions.
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