arXiv:2506.01281cs.AI2025-06NeurIPS被引 2

用近似方法避免概率模型尺寸爆炸,提升表达效率。

On the Hardness of Approximating Distributions with Tractable Probabilistic Models

  • 引入基于f-散度的近似框架,允许小误差以控制模型规模。
  • 证明任意分布近似在可计算边缘概率的模型中均为NP难问题。
  • 揭示可分解与可分解确定性概率电路间存在指数级尺寸差距。

概率建模的核心挑战在于表达能力与推理效率之间的权衡。可处理概率模型(TPMs)通过施加约束来保证某些查询的高效推理,同时保持表达能力。特别是概率电路(PCs)为多种TPMs提供了统一框架,将模型族定义为满足不同结构性质的电路。由于在PC上推理的复杂度取决于电路大小,理解不同电路族的尺寸需求是映射可处理性与表达效率之间权衡的基础。然而,现有对电路表达效率的研究多关注精确表示,这与实际建模学习不一致——学习目标是通过某种距离度量尽可能逼近真实数据分布。此外,由于推理任务的困难性,实现精确表示且支持可处理推理通常导致指数级尺寸膨胀。本文探讨一个自然但尚未深入研究的问题:能否通过允许少量近似误差来避免这种尺寸膨胀?我们研究了基于f-散度的分布近似,并分析在此框架下哪些推理查询仍能良好近似。结果表明,对于任何能高效计算边缘概率的模型,以有界f-散度近似任意分布都是NP难的。此外,我们证明了可分解概率电路与可分解确定性概率电路在近似能力上的指数级尺寸差距。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A fundamental challenge in probabilistic modeling is to balance expressivity and inference efficiency. Tractable probabilistic models (TPMs) aim to directly address this tradeoff by imposing constraints that guarantee efficient inference of certain queries while maintaining expressivity. In particular, probabilistic circuits (PCs) provide a unifying framework for many TPMs, by characterizing families of models as circuits satisfying different structural properties. Because the complexity of inference on PCs is a function of the circuit size, understanding the size requirements of different families of PCs is fundamental in mapping the trade-off between tractability and expressive efficiency. However, the study of expressive efficiency of circuits are often concerned with exact representations, which may not align with model learning, where we look to approximate the underlying data distribution closely by some distance measure. Moreover, due to hardness of inference tasks, exactly representing distributions while supporting tractable inference often incurs exponential size blow-ups. In this paper, we consider a natural, yet so far underexplored, question: can we avoid such size blow-up by allowing for some small approximation error? We study approximating distributions with probabilistic circuits with guarantees based on $f$-divergences, and analyze which inference queries remain well-approximated under this framework. We show that approximating an arbitrary distribution with bounded $f$-divergence is $\mathsf{NP}$-hard for any model that can tractably compute marginals. In addition, we prove an exponential size gap for approximation between the class of decomposable PCs and that of decomposable and deterministic PCs.

概率模型近似推理电路复杂性

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