arXiv:2506.02485cs.AIcs.CE2025-06被引 15

用生成式AI预测野火蔓延,突破传统模型局限。

Generative AI as a Pillar for Predicting 2D and 3D Wildfire Spread: Beyond Physics-Based Models and Traditional Deep Learning

  • 采用生成式AI处理多模态地理数据,模拟2D/3D野火扩散。
  • 相比物理模型和传统深度学习,生成效果更真实、可扩展。
  • 适合灾害预警、应急决策与移动终端实时推演场景。

野火日益威胁人类生命、生态系统与基础设施,如2025年洛杉矶县的帕利塞德与伊顿火灾凸显了先进预测框架的紧迫需求。现有物理模型与深度学习方法难以在2D和3D域中有效捕捉动态野火蔓延,尤其在融合实时多源地理空间数据时表现不足。本文探讨生成式人工智能(如GANs、VAEs、Transformers)作为变革性工具,在野火预测与仿真中的潜力。这些模型在处理不确定性、整合多模态输入、生成高保真可扩展场景方面具备优势。研究引入大语言模型(LLMs)进行文献综述、分类与知识提取,系统梳理近年生成式AI在火情预测与监测中的应用。揭示生成方法如何解决传统模拟与深度学习的瓶颈。最后提出五个未来方向:统一建模2D/3D动态的多模态框架、用于决策智能的代理式AI系统与聊天机器人、移动端实时情景生成,并讨论关键挑战。研究主张向多模态生成框架转型,以支持主动、数据驱动的野火应对。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Wildfires increasingly threaten human life, ecosystems, and infrastructure, with events like the 2025 Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles County underscoring the urgent need for more advanced prediction frameworks. Existing physics-based and deep learning models struggle to capture dynamic wildfire spread across both 2D and 3D domains, especially when incorporating real-time, multimodal geospatial data. This paper explores how generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) models-such as GANs, VAEs, and Transformers-can serve as transformative tools for wildfire prediction and simulation. These models offer superior capabilities in managing uncertainty, integrating multimodal inputs, and generating realistic, scalable wildfire scenarios. We introduce a new paradigm that leverages large language models (LLMs) for literature synthesis, classification, and knowledge extraction, conducting a systematic review of recent studies applying generative AI to fire prediction and monitoring. We highlight how generative approaches uniquely address challenges faced by traditional simulation and deep learning methods. Finally, we outline five key future directions for generative AI in wildfire management, including unified multimodal modeling of 2D and 3D dynamics, agentic AI systems and chatbots for decision intelligence, and real-time scenario generation on mobile devices, along with a discussion of critical challenges. Our findings advocate for a paradigm shift toward multimodal generative frameworks to support proactive, data-informed wildfire response.

生成式AI野火预测多模态建模决策智能

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