arXiv:2506.05876cs.GTcs.AI2025-06

用博弈论重构长期信息说服,让发送方和接收方平等博弈。

Information Bargaining: Bilateral Commitment in Bayesian Persuasion

  • 将长期说服建模为双方议价过程,实现公平与帕累托最优
  • 揭示信息优势与先发优势是两类不同优势,不再混淆
  • 适用于大模型验证,适合研究信息博弈与机制设计的人

贝叶斯说服扩展了廉价谈话,使知情发送方通过承诺信号方案来影响接收方行为。相比廉价谈话,发送方的承诺使接收方可预先验证信号的激励相容性,促进合作。然而,在长期互动中,当接收方根据历史结果和未来预期采取动态策略时,该方法面临计算复杂性(NP难)。为此,本文引入议价视角:(1) 构建统一框架与结构化解概念,具备公平性和帕累托效率等理想性质;(2) 明确区分两类以往混淆的优势——发送方的信息优势与先发优势。仅对标准设定进行小幅修改,即显式化博弈结构共识,并赋予接收方可比承诺能力,从而将经典单边说服重构为平衡的信息议价框架。通过两阶段验证-推理范式验证:首先证明当前公开可用的大语言模型(GPT-o3、DeepSeek-R1)能可靠完成标准任务;随后将其应用于说服场景,结果显示其结果与本信息议价框架预测一致。所有代码、结果与终端日志均公开于 github.com/YueLin301/InformationBargaining。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Bayesian persuasion, an extension of cheap-talk communication, involves an informed sender committing to a signaling scheme to influence a receiver's actions. Compared to cheap talk, this sender's commitment enables the receiver to verify the incentive compatibility of signals beforehand, facilitating cooperation. While effective in one-shot scenarios, Bayesian persuasion faces computational complexity (NP-hardness) when extended to long-term interactions, where the receiver may adopt dynamic strategies conditional on past outcomes and future expectations. To address this complexity, we introduce the bargaining perspective, which allows: (1) a unified framework and well-structured solution concept for long-term persuasion, with desirable properties such as fairness and Pareto efficiency; (2) a clear distinction between two previously conflated advantages: the sender's informational advantage and first-proposer advantage. With only modest modifications to the standard setting, this perspective makes explicit the common knowledge of the game structure and grants the receiver comparable commitment capabilities, thereby reinterpreting classic one-sided persuasion as a balanced information bargaining framework. The framework is validated through a two-stage validation-and-inference paradigm: We first demonstrate that GPT-o3 and DeepSeek-R1, out of publicly available LLMs, reliably handle standard tasks; We then apply them to persuasion scenarios to test that the outcomes align with what our information-bargaining framework suggests. All code, results, and terminal logs are publicly available at github.com/YueLin301/InformationBargaining.

信息博弈贝叶斯说服大模型应用

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