用神经网络补全电池动力学模型,提升智能电网预测精度
Universal Differential Equations for Scientific Machine Learning of Node-Wise Battery Dynamics in Smart Grids
- 将神经网络嵌入物理电池微分方程,学习节点级动态偏差
- 在合成数据上逼近真实电池轨迹,长期预测保持稳定
- 适合做可解释的能源系统建模与实时优化研究者
通用微分方程(UDE)将神经网络与物理微分方程结合,成为科学机器学习(SciML)中高效、可解释且符合物理规律的建模框架。针对智能电网中因太阳能输入随机性和家庭负荷差异导致的节点级电池动态建模难题,本文提出一种基于UDE的方法,通过在物理启发的电池常微分方程中嵌入神经残差项,学习未建模的动态偏差。利用合成但真实的光伏发电与负荷需求数据,模拟电池随时间演化过程。神经组件捕捉由节点需求异质性与环境条件变化引起的随机修正。大量实验表明,训练后的UDE能紧密匹配真实电池轨迹,收敛平滑,长期预测保持稳定。结果验证了该方法在去中心化能源网络电池建模中的可行性,并为可再生能源集成的智能电网实时控制与优化提供了新思路。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Universal Differential Equations (UDEs), which blend neural networks with physical differential equations, have emerged as a powerful framework for scientific machine learning (SciML), enabling data-efficient, interpretable, and physically consistent modeling. In the context of smart grid systems, modeling node-wise battery dynamics remains a challenge due to the stochasticity of solar input and variability in household load profiles. Traditional approaches often struggle with generalization and fail to capture unmodeled residual dynamics. This work proposes a UDE-based approach to learn node-specific battery evolution by embedding a neural residual into a physically inspired battery ODE. Synthetic yet realistic solar generation and load demand data are used to simulate battery dynamics over time. The neural component learns to model unobserved or stochastic corrections arising from heterogeneity in node demand and environmental conditions. Comprehensive experiments reveal that the trained UDE aligns closely with ground truth battery trajectories, exhibits smooth convergence behavior, and maintains stability in long-term forecasts. These findings affirm the viability of UDE-based SciML approaches for battery modeling in decentralized energy networks and suggest broader implications for real-time control and optimization in renewable-integrated smart grids.
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