arXiv:2506.08963cs.AI2025-06KDD被引 4

评估交通路口生成模型时,发现低误差模型仍会违反交规。

Evaluating Generative Vehicle Trajectory Models for Traffic Intersection Dynamics

  • 在真实路口微仿真中在线评估生成模型行为
  • 模型虽轨迹误差低,却常出现闯红灯等违规
  • 引入新指标衡量交通工程关注的违规行为

交通路口是城市道路网络的关键节点,负责调控人员与货物流动,但也是轨迹冲突频发区域,易引发事故。基于深度生成模型的信号灯路口交通动态预测可帮助交通管理部门更好地理解运行效率与安全性。目前模型多依赖轨迹重建误差等计算指标进行评估,缺乏在真实交通流中实时运行的在线评估。现有指标也未充分考虑交通工程中的关键问题,如闯红灯、禁止停车等。本文提出一个综合分析工具,用于训练、运行和评估模型,并引入更符合交通工程视角的评价指标。我们在一个大规模真实城市路口校准场景数据集上训练了先进的多车轨迹预测模型,并在未见过的交通条件下,于微观仿真环境中在线评估其性能。结果表明,即使输入轨迹理想且重建误差极低,生成轨迹仍存在大量违反交通规则的行为。我们提出了新的评估指标来量化此类不良行为,并展示实验结果。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic Intersections are vital to urban road networks as they regulate the movement of people and goods. However, they are regions of conflicting trajectories and are prone to accidents. Deep Generative models of traffic dynamics at signalized intersections can greatly help traffic authorities better understand the efficiency and safety aspects. At present, models are evaluated on computational metrics that primarily look at trajectory reconstruction errors. They are not evaluated online in a `live' microsimulation scenario. Further, these metrics do not adequately consider traffic engineering-specific concerns such as red-light violations, unallowed stoppage, etc. In this work, we provide a comprehensive analytics tool to train, run, and evaluate models with metrics that give better insights into model performance from a traffic engineering point of view. We train a state-of-the-art multi-vehicle trajectory forecasting model on a large dataset collected by running a calibrated scenario of a real-world urban intersection. We then evaluate the performance of the prediction models, online in a microsimulator, under unseen traffic conditions. We show that despite using ideally-behaved trajectories as input, and achieving low trajectory reconstruction errors, the generated trajectories show behaviors that break traffic rules. We introduce new metrics to evaluate such undesired behaviors and present our results.

轨迹预测交通仿真生成模型

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