arXiv:2506.11790cs.LGcs.AI2025-06中稿 · KDD被引 5

揭示时间序列归因评估中类别差异的成因与矛盾。

Why Do Class-Dependent Evaluation Effects Occur with Time Series Feature Attributions? A Synthetic Data Investigation

  • 用合成数据控制变量,分析归因评估在不同类别间表现不一的原因。
  • 发现扰动法与真实标签法对归因质量的评估常出现矛盾结果。
  • 提醒研究者谨慎解读扰动评估,需发展更全面的评估方法。

解释性人工智能(XAI)中特征归因方法的评估面临挑战,因缺乏真实标签时通常依赖基于扰动的指标。然而近期研究表明,同一数据集内不同预测类别的评估表现存在差异,即“类别依赖评估效应”,引发对扰动分析是否可靠衡量归因质量的质疑。本文通过设计具有已知真实特征位置的合成时间序列数据,系统改变特征类型和类别对比度,比较扰动降级分数与基于真实标签的精确率-召回率指标。实验表明,即使在简单的时间局部化特征场景下,两类评估方法均会引发类别依赖效应,由特征幅度或时间跨度的微小差异触发。最关键是,两类指标在不同类别上常得出相反结论,相关性弱。这表明应谨慎对待扰动指标,因其未必反映归因是否准确识别关键特征。本研究揭示了评估方法间的脱节,提示需重新思考归因评估的本质,并开发能捕捉多维度质量的更严谨评估手段。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Evaluating feature attribution methods represents a critical challenge in explainable AI (XAI), as researchers typically rely on perturbation-based metrics when ground truth is unavailable. However, recent work reveals that these evaluation metrics can show different performance across predicted classes within the same dataset. These "class-dependent evaluation effects" raise questions about whether perturbation analysis reliably measures attribution quality, with direct implications for XAI method development and evaluation trustworthiness. We investigate under which conditions these class-dependent effects arise by conducting controlled experiments with synthetic time series data where ground truth feature locations are known. We systematically vary feature types and class contrasts across binary classification tasks, then compare perturbation-based degradation scores with ground truth-based precision-recall metrics using multiple attribution methods. Our experiments demonstrate that class-dependent effects emerge with both evaluation approaches, even in simple scenarios with temporally localized features, triggered by basic variations in feature amplitude or temporal extent between classes. Most critically, we find that perturbation-based and ground truth metrics frequently yield contradictory assessments of attribution quality across classes, with weak correlations between evaluation approaches. These findings suggest that researchers should interpret perturbation-based metrics with care, as they may not always align with whether attributions correctly identify discriminating features. By showing this disconnect, our work points toward reconsidering what attribution evaluation actually measures and developing more rigorous evaluation methods that capture multiple dimensions of attribution quality.

可解释AI特征归因时间序列评估方法

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