arXiv:2506.12371cs.LGstat.ML2025-06NeurIPS被引 2

用因果分析揭示脉搏血氧仪种族偏差对重症治疗的影响

Path-specific effects for pulse-oximetry guided decisions in critical care

  • 通过路径特定效应分离种族对医疗决策的直接与间接影响
  • 发现肤色差异主要影响通气时长而非是否插管,数据集间表现不同
  • 提出自归一化双重稳健估计器,提升小样本下分析可靠性

识别并衡量敏感属性相关的偏差是医疗领域防止治疗差异的关键。一个突出问题是脉搏血氧仪读数不准确,常对深肤色患者高估血氧饱和度,从而误判补充氧气需求。现有研究多揭示设备误差与患者结局在重症监护室(ICU)中的统计关联,但缺乏因果形式化。本研究采用因果推断方法,通过路径特定效应,分离种族偏差对临床决策的影响。为估计这些效应,我们使用双重稳健估计器,提出其自归一化变体以提高样本效率,并提供新的有限样本保证。方法在半合成数据上验证,并应用于两个大规模真实世界健康数据集:MIMIC-IV 和 eICU。与先前研究相反,我们的分析显示种族差异对插管率影响极小;然而,由血氧饱和度差异中介的路径特定效应在通气时长上更显著,且不同数据集间严重程度不同。本工作提出一种新型管道,用于探究临床决策中的潜在不公平性,更重要的是强调了因果方法在稳健评估医疗公平性中的必要性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Identifying and measuring biases associated with sensitive attributes is a crucial consideration in healthcare to prevent treatment disparities. One prominent issue is inaccurate pulse oximeter readings, which tend to overestimate oxygen saturation for dark-skinned patients and misrepresent supplemental oxygen needs. Most existing research has revealed statistical disparities linking device measurement errors to patient outcomes in intensive care units (ICUs) without causal formalization. This study causally investigates how racial discrepancies in oximetry measurements affect invasive ventilation in ICU settings. We employ a causal inference-based approach using path-specific effects to isolate the impact of bias by race on clinical decision-making. To estimate these effects, we leverage a doubly robust estimator, propose its self-normalized variant for improved sample efficiency, and provide novel finite-sample guarantees. Our methodology is validated on semi-synthetic data and applied to two large real-world health datasets: MIMIC-IV and eICU. Contrary to prior work, our analysis reveals minimal impact of racial discrepancies on invasive ventilation rates. However, path-specific effects mediated by oxygen saturation disparity are more pronounced on ventilation duration, and the severity differs across datasets. Our work provides a novel pipeline for investigating potential disparities in clinical decision-making and, more importantly, highlights the necessity of causal methods to robustly assess fairness in healthcare.

因果推断医疗公平重症监护脉搏血氧

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