arXiv:2506.12456cs.CV2025-06被引 3

用卫星影像与人口数据联合预测城市扩张和出行模式,提升真实性和准确性。

Demographics-Informed Neural Network for Multi-Modal Spatiotemporal forecasting of Urban Growth and Travel Patterns Using Satellite Imagery

  • 融合卫星图像、人口与出行数据的编码器-解码器模型,带时序门控残差结构
  • SSIM达0.8342,人口一致性损失仅0.14,显著优于基线模型
  • 适合城市规划、交通建模及多模态时空预测研究者参考

本研究提出一种新型的人口信息驱动深度学习框架,用于联合建模地理卫星影像、社会人口特征与出行行为动态,以预测城市空间演变。所提模型采用带时序门控残差连接的编码器-解码器架构,融合卫星影像与人口数据,精准预测未来空间变化。研究还引入人口预测模块,确保预测的卫星影像与人口特征一致,显著提升物理真实感与社会经济准确性。框架通过多目标损失函数与语义损失函数优化,平衡视觉真实感与时间连贯性。实验结果表明,该模型性能优于现有先进方法,结构相似性(SSIM)达0.8342,人口一致性损失(Demo-loss)为0.14,远低于基线模型的0.95和0.96。研究还验证了城市发展的协同演化理论,量化揭示建成环境与人口模式间的双向影响。此外,构建了一个涵盖2012–2023年卫星影像序列与对应人口及出行属性的多模态数据集,填补了城市与交通规划资源中物理景观演进与社会人口模式关联的空白。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study presents a novel demographics informed deep learning framework designed to forecast urban spatial transformations by jointly modeling geographic satellite imagery, socio-demographics, and travel behavior dynamics. The proposed model employs an encoder-decoder architecture with temporal gated residual connections, integrating satellite imagery and demographic data to accurately forecast future spatial transformations. The study also introduces a demographics prediction component which ensures that predicted satellite imagery are consistent with demographic features, significantly enhancing physiological realism and socioeconomic accuracy. The framework is enhanced by a proposed multi-objective loss function complemented by a semantic loss function that balances visual realism with temporal coherence. The experimental results from this study demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed model compared to state-of-the-art models, achieving higher structural similarity (SSIM: 0.8342) and significantly improved demographic consistency (Demo-loss: 0.14 versus 0.95 and 0.96 for baseline models). Additionally, the study validates co-evolutionary theories of urban development, demonstrating quantifiable bidirectional influences between built environment characteristics and population patterns. The study also contributes a comprehensive multimodal dataset pairing satellite imagery sequences (2012-2023) with corresponding demographic and travel behavior attributes, addressing existing gaps in urban and transportation planning resources by explicitly connecting physical landscape evolution with socio-demographic patterns.

城市预测多模态建模卫星影像人口数据

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