arXiv:2506.12647cs.AIcs.LG2025-06被引 3

用智能算法优化血袋分配,预测短缺,提升资源利用率。

Optimizing Blood Transfusions and Predicting Shortages in Resource-Constrained Areas

  • 设计启发式匹配算法,综合考虑血型、距离、保质期和稀有度。
  • 多级启发式匹配使血袋请求接受率提升47.6%。
  • 用线性回归预测缺血,误差仅1.40%,适合医疗资源匮乏地区。

本研究针对资源受限地区的血液管理难题,提出用于供体-患者匹配与血站选择的启发式算法,并结合机器学习分析输血接受数据以预测潜在短缺。通过模拟优化血站运营,从随机分配逐步改进为融合距离、血型相容性、过期优先和稀有度评分的系统。相比盲目匹配,启发式方法带来28.6%的接受率提升;多级启发式匹配更实现47.6%的改进。在短缺预测方面,对比了LSTM、线性回归和ARIMA模型,基于170天历史数据训练,线性回归表现最佳,平均绝对百分比误差为1.40%。系统采用Cassandra NoSQL数据库,整合优化与预测能力,可主动管理血液资源。该方案专为资源有限环境设计,兼顾距离、血型、有效期与稀有度等要素。未来将引入真实数据与更多变量,进一步提升精度与性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Our research addresses the critical challenge of managing blood transfusions and optimizing allocation in resource-constrained regions. We present heuristic matching algorithms for donor-patient and blood bank selection, alongside machine learning methods to analyze blood transfusion acceptance data and predict potential shortages. We developed simulations to optimize blood bank operations, progressing from random allocation to a system incorporating proximity-based selection, blood type compatibility, expiration prioritization, and rarity scores. Moving from blind matching to a heuristic-based approach yielded a 28.6% marginal improvement in blood request acceptance, while a multi-level heuristic matching resulted in a 47.6% improvement. For shortage prediction, we compared Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Linear Regression, and AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, trained on 170 days of historical data. Linear Regression slightly outperformed others with a 1.40% average absolute percentage difference in predictions. Our solution leverages a Cassandra NoSQL database, integrating heuristic optimization and shortage prediction to proactively manage blood resources. This scalable approach, designed for resource-constrained environments, considers factors such as proximity, blood type compatibility, inventory expiration, and rarity. Future developments will incorporate real-world data and additional variables to improve prediction accuracy and optimization performance.

血液管理启发式算法预测模型

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