arXiv:2506.13083cs.LG2025-06中稿 · TNNLS被引 25

提出可量化不确定性的图神经网络,提升预测可信度。

Uncertainty-Aware Graph Neural Networks: A Multi-Hop Evidence Fusion Approach

  • 融合证据理论与多跳传播,量化节点预测不确定性
  • 在多个数据集上准确率提升1.2%~3.8%,误判风险降低
  • 适合对可靠性要求高的场景,如医疗诊断、金融风控

图神经网络(GNN)通过整合图结构和节点特征,在图表示学习中表现优异。然而,现有GNN未能考虑分类概率随模型深度变化的不确定性,导致在真实场景中预测不可靠且存在风险。为此,本文提出一种新型证据融合图神经网络(EFGNN),实现可信预测、提升节点分类准确率,并明确标注错误预测的风险。具体地,将证据理论与基于多跳传播的GNN架构结合,利用多个感受野量化每个节点的预测不确定性;同时设计无参数的累积信念融合(CBF)机制,捕捉不确定性变化并融合证据以增强最终预测的可信度。为有效优化模型,设计联合学习目标,包含证据交叉熵、矛盾系数与错误自信惩罚。在多个数据集上的实验结果及理论分析表明,该模型在准确率与可信度方面均具优势,且对潜在攻击具有鲁棒性。源代码已公开于 https://github.com/Shiy-Li/EFGNN。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel in graph representation learning by integrating graph structure and node features. Existing GNNs, unfortunately, fail to account for the uncertainty of class probabilities that vary with the depth of the model, leading to unreliable and risky predictions in real-world scenarios. To bridge the gap, in this paper, we propose a novel Evidence Fusing Graph Neural Network (EFGNN for short) to achieve trustworthy prediction, enhance node classification accuracy, and make explicit the risk of wrong predictions. In particular, we integrate the evidence theory with multi-hop propagation-based GNN architecture to quantify the prediction uncertainty of each node with the consideration of multiple receptive fields. Moreover, a parameter-free cumulative belief fusion (CBF) mechanism is developed to leverage the changes in prediction uncertainty and fuse the evidence to improve the trustworthiness of the final prediction. To effectively optimize the EFGNN model, we carefully design a joint learning objective composed of evidence cross-entropy, dissonance coefficient, and false confident penalty. The experimental results on various datasets and theoretical analyses demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in terms of accuracy and trustworthiness, as well as its robustness to potential attacks. The source code of EFGNN is available at https://github.com/Shiy-Li/EFGNN.

图神经网络不确定性可信预测证据理论

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